Waymo’s recent launch of paid robotaxi service in Denver, San Diego, and Tampa has lifted its commercial footprint to 14 U.S. cities as of early September 2026, with a 4,000-plus vehicle fleet delivering over 500,000 weekly rides. Trader sentiment centers on whether the company can add two to five more markets by year-end to reach the leading 16-19 bin. Key swing factors include the pace of regulatory clearances in places like Las Vegas and California’s broader counties, mapping and employee-testing timelines in additional metros, and the operational ramp of its sixth-generation Driver on new Ojai and IONIQ 5 platforms. The tight spread between the 12-15 and 16-19 outcomes reflects uncertainty over how many simultaneous city launches the team can execute before December 31 while maintaining safety standards and scaling toward one million weekly rides.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour16-19 35%
12-15 30.1%
<12 19.8%
20-23 4.0%
$86,068 Vol.
$86,068 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
<12
20%
12-15
30%
16-19
35%
20-23
4%
24-27
3%
28-31
1%
32+
<1%
16-19 35%
12-15 30.1%
<12 19.8%
20-23 4.0%
$86,068 Vol.
$86,068 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
<12
$5,478 Vol.
20%
12-15
$30,182 Vol.
30%
16-19
$16,773 Vol.
35%
20-23
$13,527 Vol.
4%
24-27
$10,921 Vol.
3%
28-31
$4,551 Vol.
1%
32+
$4,636 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Waymo’s recent launch of paid robotaxi service in Denver, San Diego, and Tampa has lifted its commercial footprint to 14 U.S. cities as of early September 2026, with a 4,000-plus vehicle fleet delivering over 500,000 weekly rides. Trader sentiment centers on whether the company can add two to five more markets by year-end to reach the leading 16-19 bin. Key swing factors include the pace of regulatory clearances in places like Las Vegas and California’s broader counties, mapping and employee-testing timelines in additional metros, and the operational ramp of its sixth-generation Driver on new Ojai and IONIQ 5 platforms. The tight spread between the 12-15 and 16-19 outcomes reflects uncertainty over how many simultaneous city launches the team can execute before December 31 while maintaining safety standards and scaling toward one million weekly rides.
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
Volume
$86,068Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Waymo’s recent launch of paid robotaxi service in Denver, San Diego, and Tampa has lifted its commercial footprint to 14 U.S. cities as of early September 2026, with a 4,000-plus vehicle fleet delivering over 500,000 weekly rides. Trader sentiment centers on whether the company can add two to five more markets by year-end to reach the leading 16-19 bin. Key swing factors include the pace of regulatory clearances in places like Las Vegas and California’s broader counties, mapping and employee-testing timelines in additional metros, and the operational ramp of its sixth-generation Driver on new Ojai and IONIQ 5 platforms. The tight spread between the 12-15 and 16-19 outcomes reflects uncertainty over how many simultaneous city launches the team can execute before December 31 while maintaining safety standards and scaling toward one million weekly rides.
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$86,068Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Waymo’s recent launch of paid robotaxi service in Denver, San Diego, and Tampa has lifted its commercial footprint to 14 U.S. cities as of early September 2026, with a 4,000-plus vehicle fleet delivering over 500,000 weekly rides. Trader sentiment centers on whether the company can add two to five more markets by year-end to reach the leading 16-19 bin. Key swing factors include the pace of regulatory clearances in places like Las Vegas and California’s broader counties, mapping and employee-testing timelines in additional metros, and the operational ramp of its sixth-generation Driver on new Ojai and IONIQ 5 platforms. The tight spread between the 12-15 and 16-19 outcomes reflects uncertainty over how many simultaneous city launches the team can execute before December 31 while maintaining safety standards and scaling toward one million weekly rides.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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