Recent short-range model runs from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate Warsaw will experience a warm air mass on August 3, 2026, with light easterly winds, broken cloud cover, and limited precipitation risk supporting daytime maxima near 29–30°C. This consensus drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those thresholds, as traders weigh subtle differences in insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and any afternoon convective development that could cap or boost the peak. Historical August climatology for the region shows average highs of 23–26°C, making current guidance slightly above baseline and highlighting sensitivity to small forecast shifts before resolution. Updated model cycles over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact value within the 27–31°C range dominating trader positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 3 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 3 août ?
29°C 30%
30°C 22%
28°C 16%
31°C 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 août 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
12%
28°C
16%
29°C
30%
30°C
22%
31°C
14%
32°C
3%
33°C
4%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 30%
30°C 22%
28°C 16%
31°C 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 août 2026
25°C or below
$10 Vol.
1%
26°C
$20 Vol.
4%
27°C
$0 Vol.
12%
28°C
$7 Vol.
16%
29°C
$7 Vol.
30%
30°C
$9 Vol.
22%
31°C
$0 Vol.
14%
32°C
$0 Vol.
3%
33°C
$20 Vol.
4%
34°C
$20 Vol.
3%
35°C or higher
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model runs from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate Warsaw will experience a warm air mass on August 3, 2026, with light easterly winds, broken cloud cover, and limited precipitation risk supporting daytime maxima near 29–30°C. This consensus drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those thresholds, as traders weigh subtle differences in insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and any afternoon convective development that could cap or boost the peak. Historical August climatology for the region shows average highs of 23–26°C, making current guidance slightly above baseline and highlighting sensitivity to small forecast shifts before resolution. Updated model cycles over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact value within the 27–31°C range dominating trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$108Date de fin
3 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model runs from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate Warsaw will experience a warm air mass on August 3, 2026, with light easterly winds, broken cloud cover, and limited precipitation risk supporting daytime maxima near 29–30°C. This consensus drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those thresholds, as traders weigh subtle differences in insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and any afternoon convective development that could cap or boost the peak. Historical August climatology for the region shows average highs of 23–26°C, making current guidance slightly above baseline and highlighting sensitivity to small forecast shifts before resolution. Updated model cycles over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact value within the 27–31°C range dominating trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$108Date de fin
3 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range model runs from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate Warsaw will experience a warm air mass on August 3, 2026, with light easterly winds, broken cloud cover, and limited precipitation risk supporting daytime maxima near 29–30°C. This consensus drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those thresholds, as traders weigh subtle differences in insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and any afternoon convective development that could cap or boost the peak. Historical August climatology for the region shows average highs of 23–26°C, making current guidance slightly above baseline and highlighting sensitivity to small forecast shifts before resolution. Updated model cycles over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact value within the 27–31°C range dominating trader positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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