Recent forecasts from models such as GFS indicate mostly clear conditions and light northwest winds for Tel Aviv on September 15, supporting daytime highs near 31–32°C amid stable high pressure and low precipitation chances. This baseline aligns with the market's spread across 30–36°C outcomes, where traders weigh minor variations in peak timing, local heat island effects, and model ensemble spreads. Humidity near 60% during afternoon hours and dew points around 20–23°C may influence surface heating rates without altering the core temperature trajectory. Historical September averages near 29°C provide context, yet current observations show warmer anomalies that sustain the elevated probabilities for 33–34°C while leaving room for revisions as updated runs arrive before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 15 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 15 septembre ?
33°C 60%
34°C 20%
32°C 16%
35°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 sept. 2026
28°C ou moins
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
7%
32°C
16%
33°C
60%
34°C
20%
35°C
8%
36°C
3%
37°C
2%
38°C ou plus
1%
33°C 60%
34°C 20%
32°C 16%
35°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 sept. 2026
28°C ou moins
$5 Vol.
2%
29°C
$10 Vol.
1%
30°C
$10 Vol.
3%
31°C
$10 Vol.
7%
32°C
$0 Vol.
16%
33°C
$96 Vol.
60%
34°C
$5 Vol.
20%
35°C
$0 Vol.
8%
36°C
$30 Vol.
3%
37°C
$10 Vol.
2%
38°C ou plus
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models such as GFS indicate mostly clear conditions and light northwest winds for Tel Aviv on September 15, supporting daytime highs near 31–32°C amid stable high pressure and low precipitation chances. This baseline aligns with the market's spread across 30–36°C outcomes, where traders weigh minor variations in peak timing, local heat island effects, and model ensemble spreads. Humidity near 60% during afternoon hours and dew points around 20–23°C may influence surface heating rates without altering the core temperature trajectory. Historical September averages near 29°C provide context, yet current observations show warmer anomalies that sustain the elevated probabilities for 33–34°C while leaving room for revisions as updated runs arrive before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
Volume
$186Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models such as GFS indicate mostly clear conditions and light northwest winds for Tel Aviv on September 15, supporting daytime highs near 31–32°C amid stable high pressure and low precipitation chances. This baseline aligns with the market's spread across 30–36°C outcomes, where traders weigh minor variations in peak timing, local heat island effects, and model ensemble spreads. Humidity near 60% during afternoon hours and dew points around 20–23°C may influence surface heating rates without altering the core temperature trajectory. Historical September averages near 29°C provide context, yet current observations show warmer anomalies that sustain the elevated probabilities for 33–34°C while leaving room for revisions as updated runs arrive before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$186Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models such as GFS indicate mostly clear conditions and light northwest winds for Tel Aviv on September 15, supporting daytime highs near 31–32°C amid stable high pressure and low precipitation chances. This baseline aligns with the market's spread across 30–36°C outcomes, where traders weigh minor variations in peak timing, local heat island effects, and model ensemble spreads. Humidity near 60% during afternoon hours and dew points around 20–23°C may influence surface heating rates without altering the core temperature trajectory. Historical September averages near 29°C provide context, yet current observations show warmer anomalies that sustain the elevated probabilities for 33–34°C while leaving room for revisions as updated runs arrive before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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