Recent forecast models from sources including GFS and regional analyses indicate Tokyo's highest temperature on September 14 will likely reach 29–31°C, driven by southerly winds advecting warmer, humid air under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation. This aligns with current observations of 25–27°C on September 13 and typical late-summer patterns where afternoon highs in the Kanto region often peak near or slightly above the September average of 27°C when subtropical flow strengthens. Low rain chances (under 15% in many runs) and moderate winds of 10–18 mph support limited cooling, positioning 30°C as the market leader at 50.5% implied probability. Updated model runs and Japan Meteorological Agency guidance on the morning of the 14th represent the next key data points that could shift trader consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Tokyo le 14 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Tokyo le 14 septembre ?
30°C 52%
29°C 23%
31°C 14%
28°C 8%
NOUVEAU
$13,845 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$13,845 Vol.
14 sept. 2026
25°C ou moins
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
8%
29°C
23%
30°C
52%
31°C
14%
32°C
3%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C ou plus
<1%
30°C 52%
29°C 23%
31°C 14%
28°C 8%
NOUVEAU
$13,845 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$13,845 Vol.
14 sept. 2026
25°C ou moins
$2,108 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$521 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$678 Vol.
3%
28°C
$805 Vol.
8%
29°C
$2,158 Vol.
23%
30°C
$1,564 Vol.
52%
31°C
$3,682 Vol.
14%
32°C
$638 Vol.
3%
33°C
$410 Vol.
2%
34°C
$461 Vol.
<1%
35°C ou plus
$820 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including GFS and regional analyses indicate Tokyo's highest temperature on September 14 will likely reach 29–31°C, driven by southerly winds advecting warmer, humid air under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation. This aligns with current observations of 25–27°C on September 13 and typical late-summer patterns where afternoon highs in the Kanto region often peak near or slightly above the September average of 27°C when subtropical flow strengthens. Low rain chances (under 15% in many runs) and moderate winds of 10–18 mph support limited cooling, positioning 30°C as the market leader at 50.5% implied probability. Updated model runs and Japan Meteorological Agency guidance on the morning of the 14th represent the next key data points that could shift trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$13,845Date de fin
14 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including GFS and regional analyses indicate Tokyo's highest temperature on September 14 will likely reach 29–31°C, driven by southerly winds advecting warmer, humid air under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation. This aligns with current observations of 25–27°C on September 13 and typical late-summer patterns where afternoon highs in the Kanto region often peak near or slightly above the September average of 27°C when subtropical flow strengthens. Low rain chances (under 15% in many runs) and moderate winds of 10–18 mph support limited cooling, positioning 30°C as the market leader at 50.5% implied probability. Updated model runs and Japan Meteorological Agency guidance on the morning of the 14th represent the next key data points that could shift trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,845Date de fin
14 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including GFS and regional analyses indicate Tokyo's highest temperature on September 14 will likely reach 29–31°C, driven by southerly winds advecting warmer, humid air under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation. This aligns with current observations of 25–27°C on September 13 and typical late-summer patterns where afternoon highs in the Kanto region often peak near or slightly above the September average of 27°C when subtropical flow strengthens. Low rain chances (under 15% in many runs) and moderate winds of 10–18 mph support limited cooling, positioning 30°C as the market leader at 50.5% implied probability. Updated model runs and Japan Meteorological Agency guidance on the morning of the 14th represent the next key data points that could shift trader consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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