**Trader consensus heavily favors 34°C as the highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 13, 2026, at 97.5% implied probability.** This positioning stems from current observational data and numerical weather prediction models showing afternoon temperatures climbing to or above that threshold amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions. Historical records indicate September daily highs average 32.2°C with occasional peaks near 35–37°C, and recent model runs align with sufficient solar heating and light winds to support the upper end of the distribution. Persistent humidity and scattered thunderstorms introduce some cooling potential through cloud cover or precipitation, yet the dominant signal from monitoring agencies points to a peak near 34°C. Resolution hinges on official maximum readings; unexpected intensification of rain or shifts in steering patterns could keep readings at 32–33°C and alter the outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Guangzhou le 13 septembre ?
34°C 97%
35°C 2.1%
36°C ou plus 1.0%
26°C ou moins <1%
$59,890 Vol.
$59,890 Vol.
26°C ou moins
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
97%
35°C
2%
36°C ou plus
1%
34°C 97%
35°C 2.1%
36°C ou plus 1.0%
26°C ou moins <1%
$59,890 Vol.
$59,890 Vol.
26°C ou moins
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
97%
35°C
2%
36°C ou plus
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors 34°C as the highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 13, 2026, at 97.5% implied probability.** This positioning stems from current observational data and numerical weather prediction models showing afternoon temperatures climbing to or above that threshold amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions. Historical records indicate September daily highs average 32.2°C with occasional peaks near 35–37°C, and recent model runs align with sufficient solar heating and light winds to support the upper end of the distribution. Persistent humidity and scattered thunderstorms introduce some cooling potential through cloud cover or precipitation, yet the dominant signal from monitoring agencies points to a peak near 34°C. Resolution hinges on official maximum readings; unexpected intensification of rain or shifts in steering patterns could keep readings at 32–33°C and alter the outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes