Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature near 56°F in San Francisco on September 14 under mostly clear skies and light westerly winds, aligning with the historical average low of 55.9°F and supporting the market's leading 56-57°F outcome at 54% implied probability. Radiative cooling overnight, moderated by the dominant Pacific high-pressure system and minimal marine layer influence, drives this range, while the 25.5% odds on 47°F or below reflect low-probability model outliers or unexpected cloud cover. Stable conditions through the period limit volatility, with traders weighting consensus guidance from agencies like NOAA over historical extremes such as the 50°F record. Final National Weather Service observations will resolve the market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à San Francisco le 14 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à San Francisco le 14 septembre ?
56-57°F 54%
47°F ou moins 51%
66°F ou plus 51%
58-59°F 40%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 sept. 2026
47°F ou moins
51%
48-49°F
39%
50-51°F
39%
52-53°F
39%
54-55°F
39%
56-57°F
54%
58-59°F
40%
60-61 °F
39%
62-63 °F
39%
64-65°F
39%
66°F ou plus
51%
56-57°F 54%
47°F ou moins 51%
66°F ou plus 51%
58-59°F 40%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 sept. 2026
47°F ou moins
$0 Vol.
51%
48-49°F
$0 Vol.
39%
50-51°F
$0 Vol.
39%
52-53°F
$0 Vol.
39%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
39%
56-57°F
$121 Vol.
54%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
40%
60-61 °F
$0 Vol.
39%
62-63 °F
$0 Vol.
39%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
39%
66°F ou plus
$0 Vol.
51%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature near 56°F in San Francisco on September 14 under mostly clear skies and light westerly winds, aligning with the historical average low of 55.9°F and supporting the market's leading 56-57°F outcome at 54% implied probability. Radiative cooling overnight, moderated by the dominant Pacific high-pressure system and minimal marine layer influence, drives this range, while the 25.5% odds on 47°F or below reflect low-probability model outliers or unexpected cloud cover. Stable conditions through the period limit volatility, with traders weighting consensus guidance from agencies like NOAA over historical extremes such as the 50°F record. Final National Weather Service observations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 12, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volume
$121Date de fin
14 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 12, 2026, 7:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature near 56°F in San Francisco on September 14 under mostly clear skies and light westerly winds, aligning with the historical average low of 55.9°F and supporting the market's leading 56-57°F outcome at 54% implied probability. Radiative cooling overnight, moderated by the dominant Pacific high-pressure system and minimal marine layer influence, drives this range, while the 25.5% odds on 47°F or below reflect low-probability model outliers or unexpected cloud cover. Stable conditions through the period limit volatility, with traders weighting consensus guidance from agencies like NOAA over historical extremes such as the 50°F record. Final National Weather Service observations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$121Date de fin
14 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 12, 2026, 7:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature near 56°F in San Francisco on September 14 under mostly clear skies and light westerly winds, aligning with the historical average low of 55.9°F and supporting the market's leading 56-57°F outcome at 54% implied probability. Radiative cooling overnight, moderated by the dominant Pacific high-pressure system and minimal marine layer influence, drives this range, while the 25.5% odds on 47°F or below reflect low-probability model outliers or unexpected cloud cover. Stable conditions through the period limit volatility, with traders weighting consensus guidance from agencies like NOAA over historical extremes such as the 50°F record. Final National Weather Service observations will resolve the market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
La température maximale à San Francisco sera-t-elle comprise entre 74 et 75°F le 14 septembre ?
45%
Oui
La température la plus basse à San Francisco sera-t-elle de 49°F ou moins le 13 septembre ?
50%
Oui
La température la plus basse à San Francisco sera-t-elle comprise entre 60 et 61°F le 12 septembre ?
52%
Oui
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