Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to overnight lows near 58–59°F for San Francisco on September 12, yet trader consensus remains nearly evenly split between a minimum of 49°F or below and 68°F or higher. This polarization reflects uncertainty in the strength and timing of the marine layer, onshore flow, and any late-day clearing that could allow radiational cooling or retain warmth. Historical September lows average 56°F with a record floor of 49°F, while recent September conditions have shown day-to-day swings of several degrees driven by wind shifts and cloud cover. Updated model runs and evening observations over the next 48 hours will likely determine whether the minimum settles in the typical upper-50s range or deviates toward either tail.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à San Francisco le 12 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à San Francisco le 12 septembre ?
49°F ou moins 100%
68°F ou plus 98%
58-59 °F 40%
60-61°F 40%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 sept. 2026
49°F ou moins
100%
50-51°F
39%
52-53 °F
39%
54-55°F
39%
56-57°F
39%
58-59 °F
40%
60-61°F
40%
62-63°F
39%
64-65°F
39%
66-67 °F
39%
68°F ou plus
98%
49°F ou moins 100%
68°F ou plus 98%
58-59 °F 40%
60-61°F 40%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 sept. 2026
49°F ou moins
$0 Vol.
100%
50-51°F
$0 Vol.
39%
52-53 °F
$0 Vol.
39%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
39%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
39%
58-59 °F
$0 Vol.
40%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
40%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
39%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
39%
66-67 °F
$0 Vol.
39%
68°F ou plus
$0 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to overnight lows near 58–59°F for San Francisco on September 12, yet trader consensus remains nearly evenly split between a minimum of 49°F or below and 68°F or higher. This polarization reflects uncertainty in the strength and timing of the marine layer, onshore flow, and any late-day clearing that could allow radiational cooling or retain warmth. Historical September lows average 56°F with a record floor of 49°F, while recent September conditions have shown day-to-day swings of several degrees driven by wind shifts and cloud cover. Updated model runs and evening observations over the next 48 hours will likely determine whether the minimum settles in the typical upper-50s range or deviates toward either tail.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 10, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
12 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 10, 2026, 7:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to overnight lows near 58–59°F for San Francisco on September 12, yet trader consensus remains nearly evenly split between a minimum of 49°F or below and 68°F or higher. This polarization reflects uncertainty in the strength and timing of the marine layer, onshore flow, and any late-day clearing that could allow radiational cooling or retain warmth. Historical September lows average 56°F with a record floor of 49°F, while recent September conditions have shown day-to-day swings of several degrees driven by wind shifts and cloud cover. Updated model runs and evening observations over the next 48 hours will likely determine whether the minimum settles in the typical upper-50s range or deviates toward either tail.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Date de fin
12 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 10, 2026, 7:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to overnight lows near 58–59°F for San Francisco on September 12, yet trader consensus remains nearly evenly split between a minimum of 49°F or below and 68°F or higher. This polarization reflects uncertainty in the strength and timing of the marine layer, onshore flow, and any late-day clearing that could allow radiational cooling or retain warmth. Historical September lows average 56°F with a record floor of 49°F, while recent September conditions have shown day-to-day swings of several degrees driven by wind shifts and cloud cover. Updated model runs and evening observations over the next 48 hours will likely determine whether the minimum settles in the typical upper-50s range or deviates toward either tail.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
La température maximale à San Francisco sera-t-elle de 59°F ou moins le 12 septembre ?
23%
Oui
La température la plus basse à San Francisco sera-t-elle comprise entre 60 et 61°F le 11 septembre ?
53%
Oui
La température la plus basse à San Francisco sera-t-elle comprise entre 68 et 69°F le 10 septembre ?
48%
Oui
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