Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources indicate a Friday minimum in San Francisco around 58–60 °F, driven by a strengthening marine layer and persistent onshore westerly flow that limits radiative cooling overnight. Recent early-September warmth, including a 94 °F high on the 9th, has given way to this moderating pattern as high pressure builds offshore and allows stratus to return. Historical September lows average near 56 °F, but current guidance shows limited overnight clearing and steady 10–20 mph winds that support the market’s heaviest volume on the 60–61 °F bin. Updated model runs overnight and any shift in the marine inversion strength will be the next key inputs before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à San Francisco le 11 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à San Francisco le 11 septembre ?
60-61°F 47%
51°F ou moins 42%
64-65 °F 35%
62-63°F 29%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
11 sept. 2026
51°F ou moins
42%
52-53 °F
14%
54-55°F
16%
56-57°F
28%
58-59°F
26%
60-61°F
37%
62-63°F
24%
64-65 °F
35%
66-67°F
19%
68-69°F
19%
70°F ou plus
29%
60-61°F 47%
51°F ou moins 42%
64-65 °F 35%
62-63°F 29%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
11 sept. 2026
51°F ou moins
$0 Vol.
42%
52-53 °F
$0 Vol.
14%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
16%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
28%
58-59°F
$27 Vol.
26%
60-61°F
$123 Vol.
37%
62-63°F
$34 Vol.
24%
64-65 °F
$0 Vol.
35%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
19%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
19%
70°F ou plus
$0 Vol.
29%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources indicate a Friday minimum in San Francisco around 58–60 °F, driven by a strengthening marine layer and persistent onshore westerly flow that limits radiative cooling overnight. Recent early-September warmth, including a 94 °F high on the 9th, has given way to this moderating pattern as high pressure builds offshore and allows stratus to return. Historical September lows average near 56 °F, but current guidance shows limited overnight clearing and steady 10–20 mph winds that support the market’s heaviest volume on the 60–61 °F bin. Updated model runs overnight and any shift in the marine inversion strength will be the next key inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 9, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volume
$185Date de fin
11 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 9, 2026, 7:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources indicate a Friday minimum in San Francisco around 58–60 °F, driven by a strengthening marine layer and persistent onshore westerly flow that limits radiative cooling overnight. Recent early-September warmth, including a 94 °F high on the 9th, has given way to this moderating pattern as high pressure builds offshore and allows stratus to return. Historical September lows average near 56 °F, but current guidance shows limited overnight clearing and steady 10–20 mph winds that support the market’s heaviest volume on the 60–61 °F bin. Updated model runs overnight and any shift in the marine inversion strength will be the next key inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$185Date de fin
11 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 9, 2026, 7:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources indicate a Friday minimum in San Francisco around 58–60 °F, driven by a strengthening marine layer and persistent onshore westerly flow that limits radiative cooling overnight. Recent early-September warmth, including a 94 °F high on the 9th, has given way to this moderating pattern as high pressure builds offshore and allows stratus to return. Historical September lows average near 56 °F, but current guidance shows limited overnight clearing and steady 10–20 mph winds that support the market’s heaviest volume on the 60–61 °F bin. Updated model runs overnight and any shift in the marine inversion strength will be the next key inputs before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
La température minimale à San Francisco sera-t-elle comprise entre 60 et 61 °F le 10 septembre ?
50%
Oui
La température maximale à San Francisco sera-t-elle comprise entre 72 et 73°F le 11 septembre ?
36%
Oui
La température la plus basse à San Francisco sera-t-elle de 49°F ou moins le 12 septembre ?
49%
Oui
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