**Trader sentiment strongly favors 30°C as the day's highest temperature in Busan, reflecting near-certainty based on real-time observations and forecasts.** Official data from the Korea Meteorological Administration and multiple forecast models show clear to partly cloudy skies with afternoon highs reaching 28–29°C (around 83–84°F) under southerly winds of 5–10 mph and moderate humidity. These conditions align closely with 30°C resolution criteria, consistent with late-summer patterns for the region where daily maxima often peak near this level without significant cloud cover or frontal activity. The overwhelming market-implied probability (99.7%) stems from live temperature readings already approaching this threshold by mid-afternoon on September 13, 2026, with little expected deviation before evening cooling. Realistic challenges remain limited but include minor model adjustments if localized sea breezes intensify or if a brief cloud increase caps the peak slightly below 30°C; conversely, a brief spike above could occur under stronger insolation. No major weather systems are indicated that would shift the outcome outside this narrow band.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Busan le 13 septembre ?
Température la plus élevée à Busan le 13 septembre ?
30°C 100.0%
26°C ou moins <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$30,314 Vol.
$30,314 Vol.
13 sept. 2026
26°C ou moins
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C ou plus
<1%
30°C 100.0%
26°C ou moins <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$30,314 Vol.
$30,314 Vol.
13 sept. 2026
26°C ou moins
$12,030 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$668 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$692 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$3,460 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$3,691 Vol.
100%
31°C
$3,788 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$3,641 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$1,351 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$236 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$694 Vol.
<1%
36°C ou plus
$63 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment strongly favors 30°C as the day's highest temperature in Busan, reflecting near-certainty based on real-time observations and forecasts.**
Official data from the Korea Meteorological Administration and multiple forecast models show clear to partly cloudy skies with afternoon highs reaching 28–29°C (around 83–84°F) under southerly winds of 5–10 mph and moderate humidity. These conditions align closely with 30°C resolution criteria, consistent with late-summer patterns for the region where daily maxima often peak near this level without significant cloud cover or frontal activity.
The overwhelming market-implied probability (99.7%) stems from live temperature readings already approaching this threshold by mid-afternoon on September 13, 2026, with little expected deviation before evening cooling.
Realistic challenges remain limited but include minor model adjustments if localized sea breezes intensify or if a brief cloud increase caps the peak slightly below 30°C; conversely, a brief spike above could occur under stronger insolation. No major weather systems are indicated that would shift the outcome outside this narrow band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$30,314Date de fin
13 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment strongly favors 30°C as the day's highest temperature in Busan, reflecting near-certainty based on real-time observations and forecasts.**
Official data from the Korea Meteorological Administration and multiple forecast models show clear to partly cloudy skies with afternoon highs reaching 28–29°C (around 83–84°F) under southerly winds of 5–10 mph and moderate humidity. These conditions align closely with 30°C resolution criteria, consistent with late-summer patterns for the region where daily maxima often peak near this level without significant cloud cover or frontal activity.
The overwhelming market-implied probability (99.7%) stems from live temperature readings already approaching this threshold by mid-afternoon on September 13, 2026, with little expected deviation before evening cooling.
Realistic challenges remain limited but include minor model adjustments if localized sea breezes intensify or if a brief cloud increase caps the peak slightly below 30°C; conversely, a brief spike above could occur under stronger insolation. No major weather systems are indicated that would shift the outcome outside this narrow band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$30,314Date de fin
13 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment strongly favors 30°C as the day's highest temperature in Busan, reflecting near-certainty based on real-time observations and forecasts.** Official data from the Korea Meteorological Administration and multiple forecast models show clear to partly cloudy skies with afternoon highs reaching 28–29°C (around 83–84°F) under southerly winds of 5–10 mph and moderate humidity. These conditions align closely with 30°C resolution criteria, consistent with late-summer patterns for the region where daily maxima often peak near this level without significant cloud cover or frontal activity. The overwhelming market-implied probability (99.7%) stems from live temperature readings already approaching this threshold by mid-afternoon on September 13, 2026, with little expected deviation before evening cooling. Realistic challenges remain limited but include minor model adjustments if localized sea breezes intensify or if a brief cloud increase caps the peak slightly below 30°C; conversely, a brief spike above could occur under stronger insolation. No major weather systems are indicated that would shift the outcome outside this narrow band.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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