**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models points to a daily maximum of 28°C in Qingdao on September 13, 2026, underpinning the market’s near-certain 99.7% implied probability for that outcome.** Coastal Shandong’s mid-September climatology features moderating maritime influence and typical highs in the mid-to-upper 20s°C; current observations show overcast skies with light southwesterly winds and no significant advection of warmer or cooler air masses. Hourly data and ensemble guidance converge on afternoon peaks near 27–28°C without exceeding thresholds for 29°C or higher. Resolution depends on the official station reading, so minor discrepancies from local microclimates or instrument calibration remain theoretically possible but are improbable given model agreement and stable synoptic conditions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Qingdao le 13 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Qingdao le 13 septembre ?
28°C 100.0%
29°C <1%
22°C ou moins <1%
23°C <1%
$23,415 Vol.
$23,415 Vol.
13 sept. 2026
22°C ou moins
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C ou plus
<1%
28°C 100.0%
29°C <1%
22°C ou moins <1%
23°C <1%
$23,415 Vol.
$23,415 Vol.
13 sept. 2026
22°C ou moins
$183 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$168 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$227 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,171 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,642 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$7,058 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$4,968 Vol.
100%
29°C
$4,429 Vol.
1%
30°C
$1,378 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$570 Vol.
<1%
32°C ou plus
$622 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models points to a daily maximum of 28°C in Qingdao on September 13, 2026, underpinning the market’s near-certain 99.7% implied probability for that outcome.** Coastal Shandong’s mid-September climatology features moderating maritime influence and typical highs in the mid-to-upper 20s°C; current observations show overcast skies with light southwesterly winds and no significant advection of warmer or cooler air masses. Hourly data and ensemble guidance converge on afternoon peaks near 27–28°C without exceeding thresholds for 29°C or higher. Resolution depends on the official station reading, so minor discrepancies from local microclimates or instrument calibration remain theoretically possible but are improbable given model agreement and stable synoptic conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$23,415Date de fin
13 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models points to a daily maximum of 28°C in Qingdao on September 13, 2026, underpinning the market’s near-certain 99.7% implied probability for that outcome.** Coastal Shandong’s mid-September climatology features moderating maritime influence and typical highs in the mid-to-upper 20s°C; current observations show overcast skies with light southwesterly winds and no significant advection of warmer or cooler air masses. Hourly data and ensemble guidance converge on afternoon peaks near 27–28°C without exceeding thresholds for 29°C or higher. Resolution depends on the official station reading, so minor discrepancies from local microclimates or instrument calibration remain theoretically possible but are improbable given model agreement and stable synoptic conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$23,415Date de fin
13 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models points to a daily maximum of 28°C in Qingdao on September 13, 2026, underpinning the market’s near-certain 99.7% implied probability for that outcome.** Coastal Shandong’s mid-September climatology features moderating maritime influence and typical highs in the mid-to-upper 20s°C; current observations show overcast skies with light southwesterly winds and no significant advection of warmer or cooler air masses. Hourly data and ensemble guidance converge on afternoon peaks near 27–28°C without exceeding thresholds for 29°C or higher. Resolution depends on the official station reading, so minor discrepancies from local microclimates or instrument calibration remain theoretically possible but are improbable given model agreement and stable synoptic conditions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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