Traders assign a 99% implied probability to a 29°C high in Shanghai on September 13 due to consistent real-time observations and model consensus from agencies tracking northeast monsoon flow and partly cloudy conditions. Official hourly readings have peaked near this threshold amid typical early-autumn stability, with dew points and wind patterns suppressing further warming beyond seasonal baselines around 28–30°C. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of verified station data rather than forecasts alone. A late surge from unexpected clear skies or model divergence could theoretically push readings to 30°C, though current atmospheric indicators make such an outcome highly unlikely before midnight local time.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Shanghai le 13 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Shanghai le 13 septembre ?
29°C 99.6%
30°C <1%
26°C ou moins <1%
27°C <1%
$64,378 Vol.
$64,378 Vol.
13 sept. 2026
26°C ou moins
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C ou plus
<1%
29°C 99.6%
30°C <1%
26°C ou moins <1%
27°C <1%
$64,378 Vol.
$64,378 Vol.
13 sept. 2026
26°C ou moins
$1,995 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$6,411 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$16,906 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$10,392 Vol.
100%
30°C
$13,936 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$9,354 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$4,853 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$145 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$106 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$143 Vol.
<1%
36°C ou plus
$138 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign a 99% implied probability to a 29°C high in Shanghai on September 13 due to consistent real-time observations and model consensus from agencies tracking northeast monsoon flow and partly cloudy conditions. Official hourly readings have peaked near this threshold amid typical early-autumn stability, with dew points and wind patterns suppressing further warming beyond seasonal baselines around 28–30°C. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of verified station data rather than forecasts alone. A late surge from unexpected clear skies or model divergence could theoretically push readings to 30°C, though current atmospheric indicators make such an outcome highly unlikely before midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$64,378Date de fin
13 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign a 99% implied probability to a 29°C high in Shanghai on September 13 due to consistent real-time observations and model consensus from agencies tracking northeast monsoon flow and partly cloudy conditions. Official hourly readings have peaked near this threshold amid typical early-autumn stability, with dew points and wind patterns suppressing further warming beyond seasonal baselines around 28–30°C. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of verified station data rather than forecasts alone. A late surge from unexpected clear skies or model divergence could theoretically push readings to 30°C, though current atmospheric indicators make such an outcome highly unlikely before midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$64,378Date de fin
13 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign a 99% implied probability to a 29°C high in Shanghai on September 13 due to consistent real-time observations and model consensus from agencies tracking northeast monsoon flow and partly cloudy conditions. Official hourly readings have peaked near this threshold amid typical early-autumn stability, with dew points and wind patterns suppressing further warming beyond seasonal baselines around 28–30°C. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of verified station data rather than forecasts alone. A late surge from unexpected clear skies or model divergence could theoretically push readings to 30°C, though current atmospheric indicators make such an outcome highly unlikely before midnight local time.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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