Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate Shanghai's minimum temperature on September 14 will most likely reach 23–24°C, driven by northeasterly flow under partly cloudy skies that limits radiative cooling overnight while preventing significant cold air advection. Current surface observations show stable high pressure with dew points near 20°C and light winds, conditions that historically produce overnight lows in this narrow range during mid-September. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 49% and 43% implied probabilities for 23°C and 24°C highlights genuine uncertainty in exact model timing, local urban heat effects, and official station measurement thresholds, with new 00Z and 12Z runs expected to refine the outcome before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Shanghai le 14 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Shanghai le 14 septembre ?
23°C 47%
24°C 43%
22°C 6%
21°C 4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 sept. 2026
19°C ou moins
<1%
20°C
3%
21°C
4%
22°C
6%
23°C
47%
24°C
43%
25°C
4%
26°C
3%
27°C
3%
28°C
<1%
29°C ou plus
<1%
23°C 47%
24°C 43%
22°C 6%
21°C 4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 sept. 2026
19°C ou moins
$100 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$0 Vol.
3%
21°C
$0 Vol.
4%
22°C
$948 Vol.
6%
23°C
$1,638 Vol.
47%
24°C
$2,239 Vol.
43%
25°C
$364 Vol.
4%
26°C
$0 Vol.
3%
27°C
$0 Vol.
3%
28°C
$223 Vol.
<1%
29°C ou plus
$100 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate Shanghai's minimum temperature on September 14 will most likely reach 23–24°C, driven by northeasterly flow under partly cloudy skies that limits radiative cooling overnight while preventing significant cold air advection. Current surface observations show stable high pressure with dew points near 20°C and light winds, conditions that historically produce overnight lows in this narrow range during mid-September. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 49% and 43% implied probabilities for 23°C and 24°C highlights genuine uncertainty in exact model timing, local urban heat effects, and official station measurement thresholds, with new 00Z and 12Z runs expected to refine the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$5,612Date de fin
14 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate Shanghai's minimum temperature on September 14 will most likely reach 23–24°C, driven by northeasterly flow under partly cloudy skies that limits radiative cooling overnight while preventing significant cold air advection. Current surface observations show stable high pressure with dew points near 20°C and light winds, conditions that historically produce overnight lows in this narrow range during mid-September. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 49% and 43% implied probabilities for 23°C and 24°C highlights genuine uncertainty in exact model timing, local urban heat effects, and official station measurement thresholds, with new 00Z and 12Z runs expected to refine the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,612Date de fin
14 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate Shanghai's minimum temperature on September 14 will most likely reach 23–24°C, driven by northeasterly flow under partly cloudy skies that limits radiative cooling overnight while preventing significant cold air advection. Current surface observations show stable high pressure with dew points near 20°C and light winds, conditions that historically produce overnight lows in this narrow range during mid-September. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 49% and 43% implied probabilities for 23°C and 24°C highlights genuine uncertainty in exact model timing, local urban heat effects, and official station measurement thresholds, with new 00Z and 12Z runs expected to refine the outcome before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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