Forecasts for Moscow on September 15 point to a typical early-autumn overnight low near 8–10°C under partly cloudy skies and northerly winds, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average of 8.0°C. Trader sentiment remains closely split between a sub-3°C minimum and one at or above 13°C because numerical weather models show notable spread in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which strongly modulate radiative cooling rates overnight. Clearer skies and lighter winds would allow temperatures to drop sharply toward record territory near 1–3°C, while increased cloudiness or stronger advection of milder air would keep the minimum elevated. Updated model runs and observational data on cloud trends over the next 24 hours represent the key variables that could shift implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus basse à Moscou le 15 septembre ?
Température la plus basse à Moscou le 15 septembre ?
13°C ou plus 74%
3°C ou moins 36.8%
9°C 23%
5°C 22%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 sept. 2026
3°C ou moins
37%
4°C
18%
5°C
22%
6°C
22%
7°C
22%
8°C
22%
9°C
23%
10°C
22%
11°C
21%
12°C
21%
13°C ou plus
74%
13°C ou plus 74%
3°C ou moins 36.8%
9°C 23%
5°C 22%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 sept. 2026
3°C ou moins
$10 Vol.
37%
4°C
$10 Vol.
18%
5°C
$44 Vol.
22%
6°C
$0 Vol.
22%
7°C
$0 Vol.
22%
8°C
$0 Vol.
22%
9°C
$0 Vol.
23%
10°C
$0 Vol.
22%
11°C
$0 Vol.
21%
12°C
$0 Vol.
21%
13°C ou plus
$72 Vol.
74%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts for Moscow on September 15 point to a typical early-autumn overnight low near 8–10°C under partly cloudy skies and northerly winds, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average of 8.0°C. Trader sentiment remains closely split between a sub-3°C minimum and one at or above 13°C because numerical weather models show notable spread in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which strongly modulate radiative cooling rates overnight. Clearer skies and lighter winds would allow temperatures to drop sharply toward record territory near 1–3°C, while increased cloudiness or stronger advection of milder air would keep the minimum elevated. Updated model runs and observational data on cloud trends over the next 24 hours represent the key variables that could shift implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Volume
$136Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts for Moscow on September 15 point to a typical early-autumn overnight low near 8–10°C under partly cloudy skies and northerly winds, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average of 8.0°C. Trader sentiment remains closely split between a sub-3°C minimum and one at or above 13°C because numerical weather models show notable spread in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which strongly modulate radiative cooling rates overnight. Clearer skies and lighter winds would allow temperatures to drop sharply toward record territory near 1–3°C, while increased cloudiness or stronger advection of milder air would keep the minimum elevated. Updated model runs and observational data on cloud trends over the next 24 hours represent the key variables that could shift implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$136Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts for Moscow on September 15 point to a typical early-autumn overnight low near 8–10°C under partly cloudy skies and northerly winds, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average of 8.0°C. Trader sentiment remains closely split between a sub-3°C minimum and one at or above 13°C because numerical weather models show notable spread in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which strongly modulate radiative cooling rates overnight. Clearer skies and lighter winds would allow temperatures to drop sharply toward record territory near 1–3°C, while increased cloudiness or stronger advection of milder air would keep the minimum elevated. Updated model runs and observational data on cloud trends over the next 24 hours represent the key variables that could shift implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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