Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS-based guidance, show Munich under mostly cloudy skies with westerly winds around 10 mph and light afternoon rain possible, capping the daily maximum near 22–23°C. These conditions align with mid-September climatology, where average highs hover around 20°C, and the current setup lacks the clear, stable high-pressure pattern needed for stronger warming. Trader consensus, reflected in the 44.5% implied probability for 22°C and 31% for 23°C, tracks the narrow range of official high-temperature projections, with only modest upside risk if clouds break earlier than expected. Updated model runs and real-time observations through the afternoon will determine whether the peak edges toward 24°C or settles at or below 22°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Munich le 13 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Munich le 13 septembre ?
22°C 50%
23°C 26%
21°C ou moins 19%
24°C 5%
$31,100 Vol.
$31,100 Vol.
13 sept. 2026
21°C ou moins
19%
22°C
50%
23°C
26%
24°C
5%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C ou plus
<1%
22°C 50%
23°C 26%
21°C ou moins 19%
24°C 5%
$31,100 Vol.
$31,100 Vol.
13 sept. 2026
21°C ou moins
$8,472 Vol.
19%
22°C
$2,221 Vol.
50%
23°C
$2,913 Vol.
26%
24°C
$7,267 Vol.
5%
25°C
$2,894 Vol.
1%
26°C
$1,013 Vol.
1%
27°C
$868 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,270 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,471 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,527 Vol.
<1%
31°C ou plus
$1,183 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS-based guidance, show Munich under mostly cloudy skies with westerly winds around 10 mph and light afternoon rain possible, capping the daily maximum near 22–23°C. These conditions align with mid-September climatology, where average highs hover around 20°C, and the current setup lacks the clear, stable high-pressure pattern needed for stronger warming. Trader consensus, reflected in the 44.5% implied probability for 22°C and 31% for 23°C, tracks the narrow range of official high-temperature projections, with only modest upside risk if clouds break earlier than expected. Updated model runs and real-time observations through the afternoon will determine whether the peak edges toward 24°C or settles at or below 22°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$31,100Date de fin
13 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS-based guidance, show Munich under mostly cloudy skies with westerly winds around 10 mph and light afternoon rain possible, capping the daily maximum near 22–23°C. These conditions align with mid-September climatology, where average highs hover around 20°C, and the current setup lacks the clear, stable high-pressure pattern needed for stronger warming. Trader consensus, reflected in the 44.5% implied probability for 22°C and 31% for 23°C, tracks the narrow range of official high-temperature projections, with only modest upside risk if clouds break earlier than expected. Updated model runs and real-time observations through the afternoon will determine whether the peak edges toward 24°C or settles at or below 22°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$31,100Date de fin
13 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS-based guidance, show Munich under mostly cloudy skies with westerly winds around 10 mph and light afternoon rain possible, capping the daily maximum near 22–23°C. These conditions align with mid-September climatology, where average highs hover around 20°C, and the current setup lacks the clear, stable high-pressure pattern needed for stronger warming. Trader consensus, reflected in the 44.5% implied probability for 22°C and 31% for 23°C, tracks the narrow range of official high-temperature projections, with only modest upside risk if clouds break earlier than expected. Updated model runs and real-time observations through the afternoon will determine whether the peak edges toward 24°C or settles at or below 22°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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