Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models show Munich's overnight low on September 14 clustering between 11–15°C, driven by northwest winds, persistent cloud cover, and light rain that limit radiative cooling overnight. Official guidance from DWD-aligned sources aligns with this range, consistent with September's climatological average low near 10°C but elevated by moist air masses. The tight spread among 12°C, 13°C, and 14°C market prices reflects model agreement on the central tendency alongside uncertainty from exact precipitation timing and boundary-layer wind shifts, which could nudge the minimum by 1–2°C. Updated runs and DWD briefings expected later today may refine these probabilities before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Munich le 14 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Munich le 14 septembre ?
9°C ou moins 43%
11°C 39%
17°C 39%
16°C 37%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 sept. 2026
9°C ou moins
43%
10°C
17%
11°C
39%
12°C
26%
13°C
31%
14°C
29%
15°C
26%
16°C
37%
17°C
39%
18°C
16%
19°C ou plus
8%
9°C ou moins 43%
11°C 39%
17°C 39%
16°C 37%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 sept. 2026
9°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
43%
10°C
$0 Vol.
17%
11°C
$0 Vol.
39%
12°C
$0 Vol.
26%
13°C
$6 Vol.
31%
14°C
$4 Vol.
29%
15°C
$0 Vol.
26%
16°C
$0 Vol.
37%
17°C
$0 Vol.
39%
18°C
$0 Vol.
16%
19°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models show Munich's overnight low on September 14 clustering between 11–15°C, driven by northwest winds, persistent cloud cover, and light rain that limit radiative cooling overnight. Official guidance from DWD-aligned sources aligns with this range, consistent with September's climatological average low near 10°C but elevated by moist air masses. The tight spread among 12°C, 13°C, and 14°C market prices reflects model agreement on the central tendency alongside uncertainty from exact precipitation timing and boundary-layer wind shifts, which could nudge the minimum by 1–2°C. Updated runs and DWD briefings expected later today may refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$10Date de fin
14 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models show Munich's overnight low on September 14 clustering between 11–15°C, driven by northwest winds, persistent cloud cover, and light rain that limit radiative cooling overnight. Official guidance from DWD-aligned sources aligns with this range, consistent with September's climatological average low near 10°C but elevated by moist air masses. The tight spread among 12°C, 13°C, and 14°C market prices reflects model agreement on the central tendency alongside uncertainty from exact precipitation timing and boundary-layer wind shifts, which could nudge the minimum by 1–2°C. Updated runs and DWD briefings expected later today may refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10Date de fin
14 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models show Munich's overnight low on September 14 clustering between 11–15°C, driven by northwest winds, persistent cloud cover, and light rain that limit radiative cooling overnight. Official guidance from DWD-aligned sources aligns with this range, consistent with September's climatological average low near 10°C but elevated by moist air masses. The tight spread among 12°C, 13°C, and 14°C market prices reflects model agreement on the central tendency alongside uncertainty from exact precipitation timing and boundary-layer wind shifts, which could nudge the minimum by 1–2°C. Updated runs and DWD briefings expected later today may refine these probabilities before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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