Stable mid-August atmospheric conditions and consistent short-range guidance from UK Met Office and Mediterranean ensemble models position daytime maxima near 31–32°C in coastal Tel Aviv on August 18, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting on those outcomes. Light winds and typical sea-breeze moderation from the Mediterranean limit further warming, while the absence of anomalous subsidence or heat-dome patterns keeps readings within climatological norms for the season. Historical August averages hover near 30°C, and current model consensus shows minimal spread with low probability for 33°C or higher. Fresh model runs and any last-minute observational adjustments from the Israel Meteorological Service remain the primary near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before daily resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 18 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 18 août ?
32°C 64%
31°C 33%
33°C 3%
30°C 2%
NOUVEAU
$13,379 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$13,379 Vol.
18 août 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
33%
32°C
64%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 64%
31°C 33%
33°C 3%
30°C 2%
NOUVEAU
$13,379 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$13,379 Vol.
18 août 2026
28°C or below
$1,442 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$576 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,210 Vol.
2%
31°C
$2,355 Vol.
33%
32°C
$3,343 Vol.
64%
33°C
$1,186 Vol.
3%
34°C
$939 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$1,185 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$311 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$326 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$542 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Stable mid-August atmospheric conditions and consistent short-range guidance from UK Met Office and Mediterranean ensemble models position daytime maxima near 31–32°C in coastal Tel Aviv on August 18, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting on those outcomes. Light winds and typical sea-breeze moderation from the Mediterranean limit further warming, while the absence of anomalous subsidence or heat-dome patterns keeps readings within climatological norms for the season. Historical August averages hover near 30°C, and current model consensus shows minimal spread with low probability for 33°C or higher. Fresh model runs and any last-minute observational adjustments from the Israel Meteorological Service remain the primary near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before daily resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$13,379Date de fin
18 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Stable mid-August atmospheric conditions and consistent short-range guidance from UK Met Office and Mediterranean ensemble models position daytime maxima near 31–32°C in coastal Tel Aviv on August 18, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting on those outcomes. Light winds and typical sea-breeze moderation from the Mediterranean limit further warming, while the absence of anomalous subsidence or heat-dome patterns keeps readings within climatological norms for the season. Historical August averages hover near 30°C, and current model consensus shows minimal spread with low probability for 33°C or higher. Fresh model runs and any last-minute observational adjustments from the Israel Meteorological Service remain the primary near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before daily resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,379Date de fin
18 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Stable mid-August atmospheric conditions and consistent short-range guidance from UK Met Office and Mediterranean ensemble models position daytime maxima near 31–32°C in coastal Tel Aviv on August 18, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting on those outcomes. Light winds and typical sea-breeze moderation from the Mediterranean limit further warming, while the absence of anomalous subsidence or heat-dome patterns keeps readings within climatological norms for the season. Historical August averages hover near 30°C, and current model consensus shows minimal spread with low probability for 33°C or higher. Fresh model runs and any last-minute observational adjustments from the Israel Meteorological Service remain the primary near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before daily resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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