Official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service, GFS, and ECMWF converge on a daily maximum of 29–31 °C for Istanbul on August 18, underpinning the market’s clustering around 30 °C (45 % implied probability), 31 °C (24 %), and 29 °C (21.5 %). Mid-August subtropical high pressure and peak solar insolation favor these readings, while Bosphorus and Marmara Sea breezes plus potential light northerly flow introduce 1–2 °C afternoon variability through boundary-layer mixing. Historical August averages near 28–30 °C provide climatological context, but traders are weighting the narrow model consensus and limited short-term uncertainty in steering patterns over any outlier intensification.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 18 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 18 août ?
30°C 45%
31°C 24%
29°C 22%
32°C 7%
NOUVEAU
$28,480 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$28,480 Vol.
18 août 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
6%
29°C
22%
30°C
45%
31°C
24%
32°C
7%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 45%
31°C 24%
29°C 22%
32°C 7%
NOUVEAU
$28,480 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$28,480 Vol.
18 août 2026
24°C or below
$292 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,140 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$883 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,694 Vol.
2%
28°C
$2,383 Vol.
6%
29°C
$5,048 Vol.
22%
30°C
$4,576 Vol.
45%
31°C
$5,823 Vol.
24%
32°C
$2,895 Vol.
7%
33°C
$1,769 Vol.
1%
34°C or higher
$1,977 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service, GFS, and ECMWF converge on a daily maximum of 29–31 °C for Istanbul on August 18, underpinning the market’s clustering around 30 °C (45 % implied probability), 31 °C (24 %), and 29 °C (21.5 %). Mid-August subtropical high pressure and peak solar insolation favor these readings, while Bosphorus and Marmara Sea breezes plus potential light northerly flow introduce 1–2 °C afternoon variability through boundary-layer mixing. Historical August averages near 28–30 °C provide climatological context, but traders are weighting the narrow model consensus and limited short-term uncertainty in steering patterns over any outlier intensification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$28,480Date de fin
18 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service, GFS, and ECMWF converge on a daily maximum of 29–31 °C for Istanbul on August 18, underpinning the market’s clustering around 30 °C (45 % implied probability), 31 °C (24 %), and 29 °C (21.5 %). Mid-August subtropical high pressure and peak solar insolation favor these readings, while Bosphorus and Marmara Sea breezes plus potential light northerly flow introduce 1–2 °C afternoon variability through boundary-layer mixing. Historical August averages near 28–30 °C provide climatological context, but traders are weighting the narrow model consensus and limited short-term uncertainty in steering patterns over any outlier intensification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$28,480Date de fin
18 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service, GFS, and ECMWF converge on a daily maximum of 29–31 °C for Istanbul on August 18, underpinning the market’s clustering around 30 °C (45 % implied probability), 31 °C (24 %), and 29 °C (21.5 %). Mid-August subtropical high pressure and peak solar insolation favor these readings, while Bosphorus and Marmara Sea breezes plus potential light northerly flow introduce 1–2 °C afternoon variability through boundary-layer mixing. Historical August averages near 28–30 °C provide climatological context, but traders are weighting the narrow model consensus and limited short-term uncertainty in steering patterns over any outlier intensification.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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