**Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 29°C high in São Paulo on August 17, 2026, reflects verified surface observations from official meteorological networks.** High-pressure systems over southeastern Brazil produced mostly clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime solar heating, allowing afternoon temperatures to peak near the upper end of the seasonal range. Station data, including from Congonhas Airport and INMET monitoring sites, recorded a maximum of 29°C, consistent with ensemble model guidance issued in the preceding days that converged on 28–30°C under dry conditions and minimal cloud cover. This outcome sits above the August climatological average of roughly 23–25°C. The market’s near-certainty accounts for the low likelihood of post-event revisions to official records, though such adjustments remain theoretically possible if quality-control checks identify anomalies at primary reporting stations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Sao Paulo le 17 août ?
Température la plus élevée à Sao Paulo le 17 août ?
29°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$52,564 Vol.
$52,564 Vol.
17 août 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
29°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$52,564 Vol.
$52,564 Vol.
17 août 2026
22°C or below
$4,951 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,973 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$7,571 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$8,074 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$3,790 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$3,679 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$3,774 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$6,001 Vol.
100%
30°C
$4,233 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$5,138 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$2,388 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 29°C high in São Paulo on August 17, 2026, reflects verified surface observations from official meteorological networks.**
High-pressure systems over southeastern Brazil produced mostly clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime solar heating, allowing afternoon temperatures to peak near the upper end of the seasonal range. Station data, including from Congonhas Airport and INMET monitoring sites, recorded a maximum of 29°C, consistent with ensemble model guidance issued in the preceding days that converged on 28–30°C under dry conditions and minimal cloud cover. This outcome sits above the August climatological average of roughly 23–25°C.
The market’s near-certainty accounts for the low likelihood of post-event revisions to official records, though such adjustments remain theoretically possible if quality-control checks identify anomalies at primary reporting stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 15, 2026, 9:55 PM ET
Volume
$52,564Date de fin
17 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 15, 2026, 9:55 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 29°C high in São Paulo on August 17, 2026, reflects verified surface observations from official meteorological networks.**
High-pressure systems over southeastern Brazil produced mostly clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime solar heating, allowing afternoon temperatures to peak near the upper end of the seasonal range. Station data, including from Congonhas Airport and INMET monitoring sites, recorded a maximum of 29°C, consistent with ensemble model guidance issued in the preceding days that converged on 28–30°C under dry conditions and minimal cloud cover. This outcome sits above the August climatological average of roughly 23–25°C.
The market’s near-certainty accounts for the low likelihood of post-event revisions to official records, though such adjustments remain theoretically possible if quality-control checks identify anomalies at primary reporting stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$52,564Date de fin
17 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 15, 2026, 9:55 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 29°C high in São Paulo on August 17, 2026, reflects verified surface observations from official meteorological networks.** High-pressure systems over southeastern Brazil produced mostly clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime solar heating, allowing afternoon temperatures to peak near the upper end of the seasonal range. Station data, including from Congonhas Airport and INMET monitoring sites, recorded a maximum of 29°C, consistent with ensemble model guidance issued in the preceding days that converged on 28–30°C under dry conditions and minimal cloud cover. This outcome sits above the August climatological average of roughly 23–25°C. The market’s near-certainty accounts for the low likelihood of post-event revisions to official records, though such adjustments remain theoretically possible if quality-control checks identify anomalies at primary reporting stations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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