Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts project a London daytime maximum of 25–26°C on August 18 under light cloud cover and a gentle westerly breeze, positioning these values as the market leaders with combined implied probability near 70%. These conditions reflect typical late-summer Atlantic airflow moderating temperatures slightly above the month’s 21–22°C climatological average while limiting solar heating and convective buildup. Model consensus shows low uncertainty in peak readings, with minimal risk of significant deviation from stable high-pressure influence or frontal activity. Traders’ skin-in-the-game assessment aggregates these official guidance updates into the current outcome distribution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Londres le 18 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Londres le 18 août ?
25°C 41%
24°C 29%
26°C 17%
23°C 9%
NOUVEAU
$59,447 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$59,447 Vol.
18 août 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
9%
24°C
29%
25°C
41%
26°C
17%
27°C
4%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 41%
24°C 29%
26°C 17%
23°C 9%
NOUVEAU
$59,447 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$59,447 Vol.
18 août 2026
22°C or below
$7,957 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$6,964 Vol.
9%
24°C
$10,555 Vol.
29%
25°C
$10,377 Vol.
41%
26°C
$10,186 Vol.
17%
27°C
$4,401 Vol.
4%
28°C
$3,676 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$4,171 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$557 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$557 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$552 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts project a London daytime maximum of 25–26°C on August 18 under light cloud cover and a gentle westerly breeze, positioning these values as the market leaders with combined implied probability near 70%. These conditions reflect typical late-summer Atlantic airflow moderating temperatures slightly above the month’s 21–22°C climatological average while limiting solar heating and convective buildup. Model consensus shows low uncertainty in peak readings, with minimal risk of significant deviation from stable high-pressure influence or frontal activity. Traders’ skin-in-the-game assessment aggregates these official guidance updates into the current outcome distribution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$59,447Date de fin
18 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts project a London daytime maximum of 25–26°C on August 18 under light cloud cover and a gentle westerly breeze, positioning these values as the market leaders with combined implied probability near 70%. These conditions reflect typical late-summer Atlantic airflow moderating temperatures slightly above the month’s 21–22°C climatological average while limiting solar heating and convective buildup. Model consensus shows low uncertainty in peak readings, with minimal risk of significant deviation from stable high-pressure influence or frontal activity. Traders’ skin-in-the-game assessment aggregates these official guidance updates into the current outcome distribution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$59,447Date de fin
18 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts project a London daytime maximum of 25–26°C on August 18 under light cloud cover and a gentle westerly breeze, positioning these values as the market leaders with combined implied probability near 70%. These conditions reflect typical late-summer Atlantic airflow moderating temperatures slightly above the month’s 21–22°C climatological average while limiting solar heating and convective buildup. Model consensus shows low uncertainty in peak readings, with minimal risk of significant deviation from stable high-pressure influence or frontal activity. Traders’ skin-in-the-game assessment aggregates these official guidance updates into the current outcome distribution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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