Recent model consensus from agencies like Météo-France and the Met Office highlights a rapid shift to cooler maritime air over northern France, introducing increased cloud cover and scattered showers that limit daytime solar heating and cap afternoon highs in Paris near 23–27°C on August 19. This follows an earlier heat spike exceeding 30°C earlier in the week, with ensemble forecasts showing modest variability tied to exact shower timing and boundary-layer moisture. Official guidance points to a maximum around 24°C as the most probable outcome, aligning closely with current market-implied odds clustered in that narrow range and reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-term convective details ahead of final observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Paris le 19 août ?
24°C 23%
23°C 17%
25°C 13%
27°C 11%
$25,567 Vol.
$25,567 Vol.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
8%
23°C
17%
24°C
23%
25°C
13%
26°C
8%
27°C
11%
28°C
8%
29°C or higher
8%
24°C 23%
23°C 17%
25°C 13%
27°C 11%
$25,567 Vol.
$25,567 Vol.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
8%
23°C
17%
24°C
23%
25°C
13%
26°C
8%
27°C
11%
28°C
8%
29°C or higher
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from agencies like Météo-France and the Met Office highlights a rapid shift to cooler maritime air over northern France, introducing increased cloud cover and scattered showers that limit daytime solar heating and cap afternoon highs in Paris near 23–27°C on August 19. This follows an earlier heat spike exceeding 30°C earlier in the week, with ensemble forecasts showing modest variability tied to exact shower timing and boundary-layer moisture. Official guidance points to a maximum around 24°C as the most probable outcome, aligning closely with current market-implied odds clustered in that narrow range and reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-term convective details ahead of final observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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