Recent Met Office guidance and short-range ensemble models indicate a minimum temperature near 18–19 °C for London on 17 August, with the market’s tight clustering around these outcomes reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty just 48 hours out. Overnight radiative cooling will depend on the timing and extent of any incoming cloud or light rain, which can limit temperature drops by several degrees, while clearer spells and lighter winds allow more efficient heat loss to space. Subtle differences in steering flow and boundary-layer mixing also separate the 17 °C and 20 °C tails. Updated model runs and the evening forecast briefing will provide the clearest signal before the night begins.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Londres le 17 août ?
La température la plus basse à Londres le 17 août ?
18°C 42%
19°C 28%
17°C 14%
20°C 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 août 2026
13°C ou moins
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
5%
17°C
14%
18°C
42%
19°C
28%
20°C
14%
21°C
5%
22°C
1%
23°C ou plus
<1%
18°C 42%
19°C 28%
17°C 14%
20°C 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 août 2026
13°C ou moins
$20 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$5 Vol.
1%
15°C
$5 Vol.
3%
16°C
$20 Vol.
5%
17°C
$82 Vol.
14%
18°C
$149 Vol.
42%
19°C
$397 Vol.
28%
20°C
$957 Vol.
14%
21°C
$25 Vol.
5%
22°C
$10 Vol.
1%
23°C ou plus
$40 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and short-range ensemble models indicate a minimum temperature near 18–19 °C for London on 17 August, with the market’s tight clustering around these outcomes reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty just 48 hours out. Overnight radiative cooling will depend on the timing and extent of any incoming cloud or light rain, which can limit temperature drops by several degrees, while clearer spells and lighter winds allow more efficient heat loss to space. Subtle differences in steering flow and boundary-layer mixing also separate the 17 °C and 20 °C tails. Updated model runs and the evening forecast briefing will provide the clearest signal before the night begins.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$1,681Date de fin
17 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and short-range ensemble models indicate a minimum temperature near 18–19 °C for London on 17 August, with the market’s tight clustering around these outcomes reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty just 48 hours out. Overnight radiative cooling will depend on the timing and extent of any incoming cloud or light rain, which can limit temperature drops by several degrees, while clearer spells and lighter winds allow more efficient heat loss to space. Subtle differences in steering flow and boundary-layer mixing also separate the 17 °C and 20 °C tails. Updated model runs and the evening forecast briefing will provide the clearest signal before the night begins.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,681Date de fin
17 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance and short-range ensemble models indicate a minimum temperature near 18–19 °C for London on 17 August, with the market’s tight clustering around these outcomes reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty just 48 hours out. Overnight radiative cooling will depend on the timing and extent of any incoming cloud or light rain, which can limit temperature drops by several degrees, while clearer spells and lighter winds allow more efficient heat loss to space. Subtle differences in steering flow and boundary-layer mixing also separate the 17 °C and 20 °C tails. Updated model runs and the evening forecast briefing will provide the clearest signal before the night begins.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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