Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate daily maximum temperatures in Qingdao near 30–32°C for August 16 under late-summer marine conditions, with northeasterly flow and partial cloud cover moderating peaks. Coastal sea breezes and high humidity typical of the Yellow Sea region limit daytime warming, while variable cloudiness and potential light rain introduce uncertainty in exact highs. These factors explain the closely matched market-implied odds around 31–33°C, as small shifts in frontal timing or insolation can alter the observed maximum by 1–2°C. Official guidance from regional meteorological services will refine the forecast ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Qingdao le 16 août ?
32°C 36%
31°C 25%
33°C 25%
34°C 17%
26°C ou moins
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
3%
29°C
10%
30°C
12%
31°C
25%
32°C
36%
33°C
25%
34°C
17%
35°C
10%
36°C ou plus
16%
32°C 36%
31°C 25%
33°C 25%
34°C 17%
26°C ou moins
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
3%
29°C
10%
30°C
12%
31°C
25%
32°C
36%
33°C
25%
34°C
17%
35°C
10%
36°C ou plus
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate daily maximum temperatures in Qingdao near 30–32°C for August 16 under late-summer marine conditions, with northeasterly flow and partial cloud cover moderating peaks. Coastal sea breezes and high humidity typical of the Yellow Sea region limit daytime warming, while variable cloudiness and potential light rain introduce uncertainty in exact highs. These factors explain the closely matched market-implied odds around 31–33°C, as small shifts in frontal timing or insolation can alter the observed maximum by 1–2°C. Official guidance from regional meteorological services will refine the forecast ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


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