Current forecasts from major models including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, aligned with Roshydromet guidance, place Moscow’s August 16 maximum in the 24–26 °C range under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow. Trader consensus clusters tightly here because short-range temperature outcomes hinge on small differences in cloud timing, which modulates surface solar heating, and any late-day showers that can suppress the peak by 1–2 °C through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Ensemble spread remains modest at this lead time, yet slight variations in boundary-layer mixing and advection from upstream high pressure explain why 24 °C, 25 °C, and 26 °C each command substantial probability. Historical August averages near 22–24 °C provide context, while updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact ceiling before station observations resolve the market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Moscou le 16 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Moscou le 16 août ?
25°C 31%
24°C 29%
26°C 26%
23°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 août 2026
20°C or below
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
9%
23°C
11%
24°C
29%
25°C
31%
26°C
26%
27°C
5%
28°C
6%
29°C
6%
30°C or higher
4%
25°C 31%
24°C 29%
26°C 26%
23°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 août 2026
20°C or below
$10 Vol.
4%
21°C
$13 Vol.
4%
22°C
$10 Vol.
9%
23°C
$0 Vol.
11%
24°C
$0 Vol.
29%
25°C
$0 Vol.
31%
26°C
$0 Vol.
26%
27°C
$0 Vol.
5%
28°C
$36 Vol.
6%
29°C
$25 Vol.
6%
30°C or higher
$20 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from major models including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, aligned with Roshydromet guidance, place Moscow’s August 16 maximum in the 24–26 °C range under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow. Trader consensus clusters tightly here because short-range temperature outcomes hinge on small differences in cloud timing, which modulates surface solar heating, and any late-day showers that can suppress the peak by 1–2 °C through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Ensemble spread remains modest at this lead time, yet slight variations in boundary-layer mixing and advection from upstream high pressure explain why 24 °C, 25 °C, and 26 °C each command substantial probability. Historical August averages near 22–24 °C provide context, while updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact ceiling before station observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$115Date de fin
16 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from major models including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, aligned with Roshydromet guidance, place Moscow’s August 16 maximum in the 24–26 °C range under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow. Trader consensus clusters tightly here because short-range temperature outcomes hinge on small differences in cloud timing, which modulates surface solar heating, and any late-day showers that can suppress the peak by 1–2 °C through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Ensemble spread remains modest at this lead time, yet slight variations in boundary-layer mixing and advection from upstream high pressure explain why 24 °C, 25 °C, and 26 °C each command substantial probability. Historical August averages near 22–24 °C provide context, while updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact ceiling before station observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$115Date de fin
16 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from major models including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, aligned with Roshydromet guidance, place Moscow’s August 16 maximum in the 24–26 °C range under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow. Trader consensus clusters tightly here because short-range temperature outcomes hinge on small differences in cloud timing, which modulates surface solar heating, and any late-day showers that can suppress the peak by 1–2 °C through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Ensemble spread remains modest at this lead time, yet slight variations in boundary-layer mixing and advection from upstream high pressure explain why 24 °C, 25 °C, and 26 °C each command substantial probability. Historical August averages near 22–24 °C provide context, while updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact ceiling before station observations resolve the market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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