Recent short-range forecast models from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show Madrid under a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge on August 15, limiting convective cooling and favoring afternoon maxima near 33–34 °C. Light northerly flow and clear skies are expected to allow strong surface heating, yet modest mid-level moisture may cap extremes below 36 °C. Urban heat-island effects and typical August climatology (mean daily high ~33 °C) support this range, while model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact ridge position creates the narrow spread among 33 °C, 34 °C, and 35 °C outcomes. Updated runs on August 14 will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Madrid le 15 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Madrid le 15 août ?
33°C 37%
34°C 28%
35°C 15%
32°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 août 2026
30°C or below
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
11%
33°C
37%
34°C
28%
35°C
15%
36°C
9%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
1%
33°C 37%
34°C 28%
35°C 15%
32°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 août 2026
30°C or below
$14 Vol.
1%
31°C
$10 Vol.
3%
32°C
$336 Vol.
11%
33°C
$152 Vol.
37%
34°C
$309 Vol.
28%
35°C
$114 Vol.
15%
36°C
$281 Vol.
9%
37°C
$20 Vol.
2%
38°C
$43 Vol.
1%
39°C
$20 Vol.
1%
40°C or higher
$84 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast models from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show Madrid under a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge on August 15, limiting convective cooling and favoring afternoon maxima near 33–34 °C. Light northerly flow and clear skies are expected to allow strong surface heating, yet modest mid-level moisture may cap extremes below 36 °C. Urban heat-island effects and typical August climatology (mean daily high ~33 °C) support this range, while model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact ridge position creates the narrow spread among 33 °C, 34 °C, and 35 °C outcomes. Updated runs on August 14 will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,208Date de fin
15 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast models from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show Madrid under a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge on August 15, limiting convective cooling and favoring afternoon maxima near 33–34 °C. Light northerly flow and clear skies are expected to allow strong surface heating, yet modest mid-level moisture may cap extremes below 36 °C. Urban heat-island effects and typical August climatology (mean daily high ~33 °C) support this range, while model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact ridge position creates the narrow spread among 33 °C, 34 °C, and 35 °C outcomes. Updated runs on August 14 will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,208Date de fin
15 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecast models from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show Madrid under a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge on August 15, limiting convective cooling and favoring afternoon maxima near 33–34 °C. Light northerly flow and clear skies are expected to allow strong surface heating, yet modest mid-level moisture may cap extremes below 36 °C. Urban heat-island effects and typical August climatology (mean daily high ~33 °C) support this range, while model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact ridge position creates the narrow spread among 33 °C, 34 °C, and 35 °C outcomes. Updated runs on August 14 will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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