Current NWS point forecasts and ensemble guidance for Central Park place the August 19 high near 84°F, with spreads across mid-80s to low-90s driven by uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, shower timing, and sea-breeze strength. Moderate southerly flow and residual moisture support scattered convection that can cap temperatures in the lower bins, while clearer breaks or stronger insolation allow readings to reach the upper bins. Historical mid-August normals near 83°F provide context, yet day-to-day variability from boundary-layer mixing and urban heat effects keeps multiple 2°F intervals at roughly equal market-implied odds. Updated model runs and NWS briefings tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of the official daily maximum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à New York le 19 août ?
La température la plus élevée à New York le 19 août ?
94°F or higher 37%
78-79°F 35%
82-83°F 19%
84-85°F 19%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 août 2026
75°F or below
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
35%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
19%
86-87°F
19%
88-89°F
19%
90-91°F
19%
92-93°F
19%
94°F or higher
37%
94°F or higher 37%
78-79°F 35%
82-83°F 19%
84-85°F 19%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 août 2026
75°F or below
$5 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$5 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$5 Vol.
35%
80-81°F
$5 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
19%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
19%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
19%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
19%
90-91°F
$0 Vol.
19%
92-93°F
$0 Vol.
19%
94°F or higher
$5 Vol.
37%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current NWS point forecasts and ensemble guidance for Central Park place the August 19 high near 84°F, with spreads across mid-80s to low-90s driven by uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, shower timing, and sea-breeze strength. Moderate southerly flow and residual moisture support scattered convection that can cap temperatures in the lower bins, while clearer breaks or stronger insolation allow readings to reach the upper bins. Historical mid-August normals near 83°F provide context, yet day-to-day variability from boundary-layer mixing and urban heat effects keeps multiple 2°F intervals at roughly equal market-implied odds. Updated model runs and NWS briefings tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of the official daily maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
19 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current NWS point forecasts and ensemble guidance for Central Park place the August 19 high near 84°F, with spreads across mid-80s to low-90s driven by uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, shower timing, and sea-breeze strength. Moderate southerly flow and residual moisture support scattered convection that can cap temperatures in the lower bins, while clearer breaks or stronger insolation allow readings to reach the upper bins. Historical mid-August normals near 83°F provide context, yet day-to-day variability from boundary-layer mixing and urban heat effects keeps multiple 2°F intervals at roughly equal market-implied odds. Updated model runs and NWS briefings tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of the official daily maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Date de fin
19 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current NWS point forecasts and ensemble guidance for Central Park place the August 19 high near 84°F, with spreads across mid-80s to low-90s driven by uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, shower timing, and sea-breeze strength. Moderate southerly flow and residual moisture support scattered convection that can cap temperatures in the lower bins, while clearer breaks or stronger insolation allow readings to reach the upper bins. Historical mid-August normals near 83°F provide context, yet day-to-day variability from boundary-layer mixing and urban heat effects keeps multiple 2°F intervals at roughly equal market-implied odds. Updated model runs and NWS briefings tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of the official daily maximum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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