**Market-implied odds favoring 29–30°C reflect trader assessments of moderating conditions following South Korea’s early-August heatwave.** Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for August 18 project a daytime maximum near 33°C under mostly cloudy morning skies transitioning to clearer afternoon conditions, with minimal precipitation risk and light winds. Coastal Incheon’s sea-breeze circulation and urban heat-island dynamics in the Seoul metro area typically cap observed peaks 1–3°C below inland maxima, while model ensembles show slight downward revisions from earlier runs. Historical mid-August climatology for the region centers around 29–31°C, providing context for the tight clustering around these outcomes ahead of official daily maximum reporting.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Séoul (Incheon) le 18 août ?
Température la plus élevée à Séoul (Incheon) le 18 août ?
29°C 46%
30°C 44%
31°C 8%
32°C 1.4%
NOUVEAU
$60,570 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$60,570 Vol.
18 août 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
46%
30°C
44%
31°C
8%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 46%
30°C 44%
31°C 8%
32°C 1.4%
NOUVEAU
$60,570 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$60,570 Vol.
18 août 2026
23°C or below
$667 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$796 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$416 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$8,710 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$7,276 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$19,670 Vol.
1%
29°C
$5,419 Vol.
46%
30°C
$6,634 Vol.
44%
31°C
$7,380 Vol.
8%
32°C
$5,834 Vol.
1%
33°C or higher
$2,482 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds favoring 29–30°C reflect trader assessments of moderating conditions following South Korea’s early-August heatwave.** Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for August 18 project a daytime maximum near 33°C under mostly cloudy morning skies transitioning to clearer afternoon conditions, with minimal precipitation risk and light winds. Coastal Incheon’s sea-breeze circulation and urban heat-island dynamics in the Seoul metro area typically cap observed peaks 1–3°C below inland maxima, while model ensembles show slight downward revisions from earlier runs. Historical mid-August climatology for the region centers around 29–31°C, providing context for the tight clustering around these outcomes ahead of official daily maximum reporting.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$60,570Date de fin
18 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds favoring 29–30°C reflect trader assessments of moderating conditions following South Korea’s early-August heatwave.** Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for August 18 project a daytime maximum near 33°C under mostly cloudy morning skies transitioning to clearer afternoon conditions, with minimal precipitation risk and light winds. Coastal Incheon’s sea-breeze circulation and urban heat-island dynamics in the Seoul metro area typically cap observed peaks 1–3°C below inland maxima, while model ensembles show slight downward revisions from earlier runs. Historical mid-August climatology for the region centers around 29–31°C, providing context for the tight clustering around these outcomes ahead of official daily maximum reporting.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$60,570Date de fin
18 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Market-implied odds favoring 29–30°C reflect trader assessments of moderating conditions following South Korea’s early-August heatwave.** Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for August 18 project a daytime maximum near 33°C under mostly cloudy morning skies transitioning to clearer afternoon conditions, with minimal precipitation risk and light winds. Coastal Incheon’s sea-breeze circulation and urban heat-island dynamics in the Seoul metro area typically cap observed peaks 1–3°C below inland maxima, while model ensembles show slight downward revisions from earlier runs. Historical mid-August climatology for the region centers around 29–31°C, providing context for the tight clustering around these outcomes ahead of official daily maximum reporting.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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