Trader consensus heavily favors the 78-79°F bin for Seattle’s August 17 high at Sea-Tac because mid-August climatology and a warmer-than-average 2026 summer place typical daily maxima near 77-79°F. National Weather Service observations and model consensus confirmed a ridge-driven pattern yielding an observed peak squarely inside this narrow range, with minimal day-to-day variability from onshore flow. Historical baselines show August averages of 77-78°F and low odds of exceeding 82°F absent strong heat advection, aligning with the market’s 98% implied probability. A late-model shift or unforecasted marine push could have nudged readings into adjacent bins, but no such deviation materialized before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Seattle le 17 août ?
78-79°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$41,802 Vol.
$41,802 Vol.
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
100%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$41,802 Vol.
$41,802 Vol.
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
100%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors the 78-79°F bin for Seattle’s August 17 high at Sea-Tac because mid-August climatology and a warmer-than-average 2026 summer place typical daily maxima near 77-79°F. National Weather Service observations and model consensus confirmed a ridge-driven pattern yielding an observed peak squarely inside this narrow range, with minimal day-to-day variability from onshore flow. Historical baselines show August averages of 77-78°F and low odds of exceeding 82°F absent strong heat advection, aligning with the market’s 98% implied probability. A late-model shift or unforecasted marine push could have nudged readings into adjacent bins, but no such deviation materialized before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


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