Official forecasts from Météo-France, aligned with Met Office and BBC model runs, converge on a daytime peak of 28–30°C in Paris on August 17, 2026, under partly sunny skies, light northerly flow, and reduced humidity after the mid-August heatwave. This positions 29°C as the dominant outcome at the Paris-Le Bourget station, consistent with climatological August averages of 24–29°C and observed cooling from prior peaks near 33–38°C. Market-implied odds near 100% reflect this tight model agreement and real-time observational data, though modest uncertainty remains around exact timing of any cloud cover or localized advection that could shift the recorded maximum by 1°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Paris le 17 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Paris le 17 août ?
29°C 100.0%
24°C ou moins <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$81,137 Vol.
$81,137 Vol.
17 août 2026
24°C ou moins
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C
Oui
30°C
Non
31°C
Non
32°C
Non
33°C
Non
34°C ou plus
Non
29°C 100.0%
24°C ou moins <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$81,137 Vol.
$81,137 Vol.
17 août 2026
24°C ou moins
$334 Vol.
Non
25°C
$1,519 Vol.
Non
26°C
$3,938 Vol.
Non
27°C
$9,874 Vol.
Non
28°C
$21,837 Vol.
Non
29°C
$20,181 Vol.
Oui
30°C
$12,520 Vol.
Non
31°C
$6,787 Vol.
Non
32°C
$2,778 Vol.
Non
33°C
$557 Vol.
Non
34°C ou plus
$813 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Météo-France, aligned with Met Office and BBC model runs, converge on a daytime peak of 28–30°C in Paris on August 17, 2026, under partly sunny skies, light northerly flow, and reduced humidity after the mid-August heatwave. This positions 29°C as the dominant outcome at the Paris-Le Bourget station, consistent with climatological August averages of 24–29°C and observed cooling from prior peaks near 33–38°C. Market-implied odds near 100% reflect this tight model agreement and real-time observational data, though modest uncertainty remains around exact timing of any cloud cover or localized advection that could shift the recorded maximum by 1°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ET
Volume
$81,137Date de fin
17 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Météo-France, aligned with Met Office and BBC model runs, converge on a daytime peak of 28–30°C in Paris on August 17, 2026, under partly sunny skies, light northerly flow, and reduced humidity after the mid-August heatwave. This positions 29°C as the dominant outcome at the Paris-Le Bourget station, consistent with climatological August averages of 24–29°C and observed cooling from prior peaks near 33–38°C. Market-implied odds near 100% reflect this tight model agreement and real-time observational data, though modest uncertainty remains around exact timing of any cloud cover or localized advection that could shift the recorded maximum by 1°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$81,137Date de fin
17 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Official forecasts from Météo-France, aligned with Met Office and BBC model runs, converge on a daytime peak of 28–30°C in Paris on August 17, 2026, under partly sunny skies, light northerly flow, and reduced humidity after the mid-August heatwave. This positions 29°C as the dominant outcome at the Paris-Le Bourget station, consistent with climatological August averages of 24–29°C and observed cooling from prior peaks near 33–38°C. Market-implied odds near 100% reflect this tight model agreement and real-time observational data, though modest uncertainty remains around exact timing of any cloud cover or localized advection that could shift the recorded maximum by 1°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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