Official meteorological observations from Mexico City stations recorded a daily maximum of exactly 26°C on July 31, 2026, driving the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome. Surface data from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and regional networks confirm this peak under typical late-July conditions, including moderate humidity, limited cloud cover, and standard urban heat-island effects that rarely push readings above seasonal baselines around 24–27°C. With the date now past, traders have converged on the verified measurement rather than forecasts, eliminating model uncertainty. Only an unforeseen revision in official station reports or post-processing corrections could alter the result, though such changes remain rare for completed daily records.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Mexico le 31 juillet ?
La température la plus élevée à Mexico le 31 juillet ?
26°C 100.0%
21°C ou moins <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$24,208 Vol.
$24,208 Vol.
31 juil. 2026
21°C ou moins
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C ou plus
<1%
26°C 100.0%
21°C ou moins <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$24,208 Vol.
$24,208 Vol.
31 juil. 2026
21°C ou moins
$564 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$548 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$644 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,665 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$5,010 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$8,797 Vol.
100%
27°C
$2,524 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,821 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$465 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$418 Vol.
<1%
31°C ou plus
$753 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from Mexico City stations recorded a daily maximum of exactly 26°C on July 31, 2026, driving the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome. Surface data from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and regional networks confirm this peak under typical late-July conditions, including moderate humidity, limited cloud cover, and standard urban heat-island effects that rarely push readings above seasonal baselines around 24–27°C. With the date now past, traders have converged on the verified measurement rather than forecasts, eliminating model uncertainty. Only an unforeseen revision in official station reports or post-processing corrections could alter the result, though such changes remain rare for completed daily records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 29, 2026, 10:03 PM ET
Volume
$24,208Date de fin
31 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 29, 2026, 10:03 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from Mexico City stations recorded a daily maximum of exactly 26°C on July 31, 2026, driving the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome. Surface data from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and regional networks confirm this peak under typical late-July conditions, including moderate humidity, limited cloud cover, and standard urban heat-island effects that rarely push readings above seasonal baselines around 24–27°C. With the date now past, traders have converged on the verified measurement rather than forecasts, eliminating model uncertainty. Only an unforeseen revision in official station reports or post-processing corrections could alter the result, though such changes remain rare for completed daily records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$24,208Date de fin
31 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 29, 2026, 10:03 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official meteorological observations from Mexico City stations recorded a daily maximum of exactly 26°C on July 31, 2026, driving the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome. Surface data from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and regional networks confirm this peak under typical late-July conditions, including moderate humidity, limited cloud cover, and standard urban heat-island effects that rarely push readings above seasonal baselines around 24–27°C. With the date now past, traders have converged on the verified measurement rather than forecasts, eliminating model uncertainty. Only an unforeseen revision in official station reports or post-processing corrections could alter the result, though such changes remain rare for completed daily records.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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