National Weather Service observations from Houston's William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU) station recorded a daily maximum of 96–97°F on August 17 under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, aligning with climatological expectations for mid-August when highs typically peak near 93–95°F. Ensemble model guidance issued in the days prior consistently projected this narrow range, reflecting stable subtropical high pressure without significant moisture or frontal influences that could suppress temperatures. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 96–97°F bin reflects this verified data point, as prediction markets aggregate real-capital assessments of observational thresholds. Scenarios that could have altered the outcome include a stronger sea breeze or unexpected convective activity earlier in the day, which might have capped the high a degree or two lower, or a temporary breakdown in the ridge allowing slightly warmer advection.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Houston le 17 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Houston le 17 août ?
96-97°F 100.0%
89°F ou moins <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$38,037 Vol.
$38,037 Vol.
17 août 2026
89°F ou moins
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95 °F
<1%
96-97°F
100%
98-99 °F
<1%
100-101 °F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F ou plus
<1%
96-97°F 100.0%
89°F ou moins <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$38,037 Vol.
$38,037 Vol.
17 août 2026
89°F ou moins
$341 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$530 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$4,228 Vol.
<1%
94-95 °F
$7,439 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$10,448 Vol.
100%
98-99 °F
$12,253 Vol.
<1%
100-101 °F
$1,721 Vol.
<1%
102-103°F
$285 Vol.
<1%
104-105°F
$251 Vol.
<1%
106-107°F
$290 Vol.
<1%
108°F ou plus
$250 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service observations from Houston's William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU) station recorded a daily maximum of 96–97°F on August 17 under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, aligning with climatological expectations for mid-August when highs typically peak near 93–95°F. Ensemble model guidance issued in the days prior consistently projected this narrow range, reflecting stable subtropical high pressure without significant moisture or frontal influences that could suppress temperatures. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 96–97°F bin reflects this verified data point, as prediction markets aggregate real-capital assessments of observational thresholds. Scenarios that could have altered the outcome include a stronger sea breeze or unexpected convective activity earlier in the day, which might have capped the high a degree or two lower, or a temporary breakdown in the ridge allowing slightly warmer advection.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 15, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Volume
$38,037Date de fin
17 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 15, 2026, 9:57 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service observations from Houston's William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU) station recorded a daily maximum of 96–97°F on August 17 under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, aligning with climatological expectations for mid-August when highs typically peak near 93–95°F. Ensemble model guidance issued in the days prior consistently projected this narrow range, reflecting stable subtropical high pressure without significant moisture or frontal influences that could suppress temperatures. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 96–97°F bin reflects this verified data point, as prediction markets aggregate real-capital assessments of observational thresholds. Scenarios that could have altered the outcome include a stronger sea breeze or unexpected convective activity earlier in the day, which might have capped the high a degree or two lower, or a temporary breakdown in the ridge allowing slightly warmer advection.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$38,037Date de fin
17 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 15, 2026, 9:57 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service observations from Houston's William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU) station recorded a daily maximum of 96–97°F on August 17 under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, aligning with climatological expectations for mid-August when highs typically peak near 93–95°F. Ensemble model guidance issued in the days prior consistently projected this narrow range, reflecting stable subtropical high pressure without significant moisture or frontal influences that could suppress temperatures. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 96–97°F bin reflects this verified data point, as prediction markets aggregate real-capital assessments of observational thresholds. Scenarios that could have altered the outcome include a stronger sea breeze or unexpected convective activity earlier in the day, which might have capped the high a degree or two lower, or a temporary breakdown in the ridge allowing slightly warmer advection.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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