Strong high-pressure ridging and clear skies across Central Texas drove daytime heating on August 17, 2026, with official observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) recording a maximum of 102–103 °F. This aligns with seasonal August climatology, where average highs near 95 °F frequently exceed 100 °F under southerly flow and low humidity, and matches National Weather Service model consensus showing minimal cloud cover or precipitation to moderate temperatures. The 100 % market-implied probability for the 102–103 °F bin reflects traders’ confidence in these verified station data. Only an unreported instrument error, post-hoc quality-control adjustment by the reporting agency, or redefinition of the observation window could alter the outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Austin le 17 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Austin le 17 août ?
102-103°F 100.0%
93°F ou moins <1%
94-95 °F <1%
96-97°F <1%
$31,628 Vol.
$31,628 Vol.
17 août 2026
93°F ou moins
<1%
94-95 °F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99 °F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
100%
104-105 °F
<1%
106-107 °F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F ou plus
<1%
102-103°F 100.0%
93°F ou moins <1%
94-95 °F <1%
96-97°F <1%
$31,628 Vol.
$31,628 Vol.
17 août 2026
93°F ou moins
$191 Vol.
<1%
94-95 °F
$443 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$1,430 Vol.
<1%
98-99 °F
$1,884 Vol.
<1%
100-101°F
$11,709 Vol.
<1%
102-103°F
$5,807 Vol.
100%
104-105 °F
$4,024 Vol.
<1%
106-107 °F
$3,090 Vol.
<1%
108-109°F
$2,033 Vol.
<1%
110-111°F
$370 Vol.
<1%
112°F ou plus
$646 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong high-pressure ridging and clear skies across Central Texas drove daytime heating on August 17, 2026, with official observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) recording a maximum of 102–103 °F. This aligns with seasonal August climatology, where average highs near 95 °F frequently exceed 100 °F under southerly flow and low humidity, and matches National Weather Service model consensus showing minimal cloud cover or precipitation to moderate temperatures. The 100 % market-implied probability for the 102–103 °F bin reflects traders’ confidence in these verified station data. Only an unreported instrument error, post-hoc quality-control adjustment by the reporting agency, or redefinition of the observation window could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Volume
$31,628Date de fin
17 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong high-pressure ridging and clear skies across Central Texas drove daytime heating on August 17, 2026, with official observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) recording a maximum of 102–103 °F. This aligns with seasonal August climatology, where average highs near 95 °F frequently exceed 100 °F under southerly flow and low humidity, and matches National Weather Service model consensus showing minimal cloud cover or precipitation to moderate temperatures. The 100 % market-implied probability for the 102–103 °F bin reflects traders’ confidence in these verified station data. Only an unreported instrument error, post-hoc quality-control adjustment by the reporting agency, or redefinition of the observation window could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$31,628Date de fin
17 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong high-pressure ridging and clear skies across Central Texas drove daytime heating on August 17, 2026, with official observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) recording a maximum of 102–103 °F. This aligns with seasonal August climatology, where average highs near 95 °F frequently exceed 100 °F under southerly flow and low humidity, and matches National Weather Service model consensus showing minimal cloud cover or precipitation to moderate temperatures. The 100 % market-implied probability for the 102–103 °F bin reflects traders’ confidence in these verified station data. Only an unreported instrument error, post-hoc quality-control adjustment by the reporting agency, or redefinition of the observation window could alter the outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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