Recent forecast guidance from regional models highlights increased cloud cover and light rainfall potential over Chongqing on August 3, suppressing daytime heating and anchoring market-implied odds near 26–27°C. Subtropical monsoon dynamics, high humidity, and the city’s mountain-basin topography typically amplify summer maxima near 33–35°C, yet persistent moisture and reduced insolation are currently shifting consensus lower. Traders weigh ensemble spread in temperature and precipitation outputs, with resolution hinging on official daily maximum observations. Updated runs from Chinese meteorological agencies and refined short-range guidance expected within 48 hours will likely refine probabilities ahead of the August 3 close.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Chongqing le 3 août ?
26°C 32%
27°C 32%
25°C 16%
28°C 14%
23°C ou moins
10%
24°C
13%
25°C
16%
26°C
32%
27°C
32%
28°C
14%
29°C
11%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C ou plus
1%
26°C 32%
27°C 32%
25°C 16%
28°C 14%
23°C ou moins
10%
24°C
13%
25°C
16%
26°C
32%
27°C
32%
28°C
14%
29°C
11%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C ou plus
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from regional models highlights increased cloud cover and light rainfall potential over Chongqing on August 3, suppressing daytime heating and anchoring market-implied odds near 26–27°C. Subtropical monsoon dynamics, high humidity, and the city’s mountain-basin topography typically amplify summer maxima near 33–35°C, yet persistent moisture and reduced insolation are currently shifting consensus lower. Traders weigh ensemble spread in temperature and precipitation outputs, with resolution hinging on official daily maximum observations. Updated runs from Chinese meteorological agencies and refined short-range guidance expected within 48 hours will likely refine probabilities ahead of the August 3 close.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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