**Recent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather indicate daily highs in Chongqing for early August 2026 ranging from the upper 20s°C to low 30s°C, with the August average around 32°C, positioning 33°C or below as the dominant market outcome at 71.5% implied probability.** This reflects expectations of moderating conditions after July peaks exceeding 40°C, driven by seasonal monsoon transitions, potential cloud cover or rainfall (typical August sees 7+ rainy days and ~134 mm precipitation), and regional atmospheric steering patterns that limit extreme heat buildup in the Sichuan Basin. Historical climatology shows August highs averaging 32–35°C with high humidity often above 70%, making sustained temperatures above 35°C less probable without strong subtropical high pressure. Traders appear to weigh model consensus on cooler, more variable conditions near the start of the month over historical extremes, with lower-probability outcomes like 35°C+ (under 15% combined) tied to any unexpected clear-sky intensification. Key upcoming inputs include updated China Meteorological Administration runs and local observations on August 1–2 that could refine these probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Chongqing le 2 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Chongqing le 2 août ?
33°C or below 72%
34°C 18%
35°C 10%
36°C 3%
NOUVEAU
$22,379 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$22,379 Vol.
2 août 2026
33°C or below
72%
34°C
18%
35°C
10%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C ou plus
<1%
33°C or below 72%
34°C 18%
35°C 10%
36°C 3%
NOUVEAU
$22,379 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$22,379 Vol.
2 août 2026
33°C or below
$5,668 Vol.
72%
34°C
$1,534 Vol.
18%
35°C
$2,170 Vol.
10%
36°C
$1,447 Vol.
3%
37°C
$2,982 Vol.
1%
38°C
$4,108 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$2,408 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$1,343 Vol.
<1%
41°C
$306 Vol.
<1%
42°C
$484 Vol.
<1%
43°C ou plus
$479 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather indicate daily highs in Chongqing for early August 2026 ranging from the upper 20s°C to low 30s°C, with the August average around 32°C, positioning 33°C or below as the dominant market outcome at 71.5% implied probability.**
This reflects expectations of moderating conditions after July peaks exceeding 40°C, driven by seasonal monsoon transitions, potential cloud cover or rainfall (typical August sees 7+ rainy days and ~134 mm precipitation), and regional atmospheric steering patterns that limit extreme heat buildup in the Sichuan Basin. Historical climatology shows August highs averaging 32–35°C with high humidity often above 70%, making sustained temperatures above 35°C less probable without strong subtropical high pressure.
Traders appear to weigh model consensus on cooler, more variable conditions near the start of the month over historical extremes, with lower-probability outcomes like 35°C+ (under 15% combined) tied to any unexpected clear-sky intensification. Key upcoming inputs include updated China Meteorological Administration runs and local observations on August 1–2 that could refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$22,379Date de fin
2 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather indicate daily highs in Chongqing for early August 2026 ranging from the upper 20s°C to low 30s°C, with the August average around 32°C, positioning 33°C or below as the dominant market outcome at 71.5% implied probability.**
This reflects expectations of moderating conditions after July peaks exceeding 40°C, driven by seasonal monsoon transitions, potential cloud cover or rainfall (typical August sees 7+ rainy days and ~134 mm precipitation), and regional atmospheric steering patterns that limit extreme heat buildup in the Sichuan Basin. Historical climatology shows August highs averaging 32–35°C with high humidity often above 70%, making sustained temperatures above 35°C less probable without strong subtropical high pressure.
Traders appear to weigh model consensus on cooler, more variable conditions near the start of the month over historical extremes, with lower-probability outcomes like 35°C+ (under 15% combined) tied to any unexpected clear-sky intensification. Key upcoming inputs include updated China Meteorological Administration runs and local observations on August 1–2 that could refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$22,379Date de fin
2 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather indicate daily highs in Chongqing for early August 2026 ranging from the upper 20s°C to low 30s°C, with the August average around 32°C, positioning 33°C or below as the dominant market outcome at 71.5% implied probability.** This reflects expectations of moderating conditions after July peaks exceeding 40°C, driven by seasonal monsoon transitions, potential cloud cover or rainfall (typical August sees 7+ rainy days and ~134 mm precipitation), and regional atmospheric steering patterns that limit extreme heat buildup in the Sichuan Basin. Historical climatology shows August highs averaging 32–35°C with high humidity often above 70%, making sustained temperatures above 35°C less probable without strong subtropical high pressure. Traders appear to weigh model consensus on cooler, more variable conditions near the start of the month over historical extremes, with lower-probability outcomes like 35°C+ (under 15% combined) tied to any unexpected clear-sky intensification. Key upcoming inputs include updated China Meteorological Administration runs and local observations on August 1–2 that could refine these probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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