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icon for Meilleur score au dernier examen de l'Humanité en 2026 ?

Meilleur score au dernier examen de l'Humanité en 2026 ?

icon for Meilleur score au dernier examen de l'Humanité en 2026 ?

Meilleur score au dernier examen de l'Humanité en 2026 ?

$53,627 Vol.

31 déc. 2026
Polymarket

$53,627 Vol.

Polymarket

60% ou plus

$28,525 Vol.

61%

65 %+

$13,622 Vol.

31%

70 %+

$5,265 Vol.

17%

75 %+

$2,857 Vol.

12%

80 %+

$1,151 Vol.

7%

90 %+

$2,206 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric. The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 currently lead Humanity’s Last Exam (HLE) at 65% and 64.7%, respectively, on the 2,500-question expert-level benchmark covering math, sciences, and humanities. These gains stem from scaled reasoning training, adaptive tool use, and larger context windows that outperform earlier 2025 frontier models stuck below 20%. Meta’s Muse Spark 1.1 sits near 62%, while OpenAI and Google entries trail in the mid-to-high 50s, reflecting differences in post-training and agentic scaffolding. With three months left in 2026, new releases, verified no-tools evaluations, and multimodal extensions could lift the frontier further, though self-reported results and benchmark revisions introduce uncertainty around final resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.

The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric. The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$53,627
Date de fin
1 janv. 2027
Marché ouvert
Jul 23, 2026, 6:41 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://agi.safe.ai/

Résolveur

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric. The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 currently lead Humanity’s Last Exam (HLE) at 65% and 64.7%, respectively, on the 2,500-question expert-level benchmark covering math, sciences, and humanities. These gains stem from scaled reasoning training, adaptive tool use, and larger context windows that outperform earlier 2025 frontier models stuck below 20%. Meta’s Muse Spark 1.1 sits near 62%, while OpenAI and Google entries trail in the mid-to-high 50s, reflecting differences in post-training and agentic scaffolding. With three months left in 2026, new releases, verified no-tools evaluations, and multimodal extensions could lift the frontier further, though self-reported results and benchmark revisions introduce uncertainty around final resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.

The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric. The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$53,627
Date de fin
1 janv. 2027
Marché ouvert
Jul 23, 2026, 6:41 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://agi.safe.ai/

Résolveur

0x65070BE91...

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Questions fréquentes

« Meilleur score au dernier examen de l'Humanité en 2026 ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 6 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 60% ou plus » à 61%, suivi de « 65 %+ » à 31%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 61¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 61% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Meilleur score au dernier examen de l'Humanité en 2026 ? » a généré $53.6K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jul 23, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Meilleur score au dernier examen de l'Humanité en 2026 ? », parcourez les 6 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Meilleur score au dernier examen de l'Humanité en 2026 ? » est « 60% ou plus » à 61%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 61% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 65 %+ » à 31%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Meilleur score au dernier examen de l'Humanité en 2026 ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.