Florida's 24th congressional district remains a heavily Democratic seat covering northern Miami-Dade and southern Broward counties, with a partisan voting index exceeding D+20 and consistent general-election margins above 40 points for the Democratic nominee in recent cycles. Incumbent Frederica Wilson’s retirement opened the race, prompting a competitive Democratic primary on August 18, 2026, among multiple candidates focused on local affordability and constituent services. The Republican primary field is notably weaker, and the district’s voter composition and turnout patterns have historically limited GOP performance regardless of national conditions. Trader consensus reflects these structural barriers. A late scandal involving the Democratic nominee, an unanticipated national Republican surge altering turnout, or successful legal challenges to the 2026 map could narrow the margin, though such shifts would require unusually large deviations from established baselines.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur du FL-24 House Election
Vainqueur du FL-24 House Election
$24,810 Vol.
$24,810 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
94%
Parti républicain
3%
$24,810 Vol.
$24,810 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$10,100 Vol.
94%
Parti républicain
$14,710 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 24th congressional district remains a heavily Democratic seat covering northern Miami-Dade and southern Broward counties, with a partisan voting index exceeding D+20 and consistent general-election margins above 40 points for the Democratic nominee in recent cycles. Incumbent Frederica Wilson’s retirement opened the race, prompting a competitive Democratic primary on August 18, 2026, among multiple candidates focused on local affordability and constituent services. The Republican primary field is notably weaker, and the district’s voter composition and turnout patterns have historically limited GOP performance regardless of national conditions. Trader consensus reflects these structural barriers. A late scandal involving the Democratic nominee, an unanticipated national Republican surge altering turnout, or successful legal challenges to the 2026 map could narrow the margin, though such shifts would require unusually large deviations from established baselines.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Volume
$24,810Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 24th congressional district remains a heavily Democratic seat covering northern Miami-Dade and southern Broward counties, with a partisan voting index exceeding D+20 and consistent general-election margins above 40 points for the Democratic nominee in recent cycles. Incumbent Frederica Wilson’s retirement opened the race, prompting a competitive Democratic primary on August 18, 2026, among multiple candidates focused on local affordability and constituent services. The Republican primary field is notably weaker, and the district’s voter composition and turnout patterns have historically limited GOP performance regardless of national conditions. Trader consensus reflects these structural barriers. A late scandal involving the Democratic nominee, an unanticipated national Republican surge altering turnout, or successful legal challenges to the 2026 map could narrow the margin, though such shifts would require unusually large deviations from established baselines.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$24,810Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 24th congressional district remains a heavily Democratic seat covering northern Miami-Dade and southern Broward counties, with a partisan voting index exceeding D+20 and consistent general-election margins above 40 points for the Democratic nominee in recent cycles. Incumbent Frederica Wilson’s retirement opened the race, prompting a competitive Democratic primary on August 18, 2026, among multiple candidates focused on local affordability and constituent services. The Republican primary field is notably weaker, and the district’s voter composition and turnout patterns have historically limited GOP performance regardless of national conditions. Trader consensus reflects these structural barriers. A late scandal involving the Democratic nominee, an unanticipated national Republican surge altering turnout, or successful legal challenges to the 2026 map could narrow the margin, though such shifts would require unusually large deviations from established baselines.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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