Persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, supported by energy price pressures from supply disruptions and a resilient labor market, has shifted trader expectations toward at least one 2026 rate hike. With the federal funds rate holding at 3.50-3.75%, recent FOMC projections show roughly half of participants penciling in higher rates by year-end, while Governor Waller’s September 3 comments highlighted openness to tightening at the September 15-16 meeting if incoming PCE and CPI data fail to cool. Markets currently price about 40-65 basis points of hikes through year-end, reflecting skin-in-the-game consensus on the balance of risks. Key near-term catalysts include August inflation releases and the remaining 2026 FOMC meetings.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$8,754,026 Vol.
$8,754,026 Vol.
Oui
$8,754,026 Vol.
$8,754,026 Vol.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ET
Résolveur
0x65070BE91...This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Résolveur
0x65070BE91...Persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, supported by energy price pressures from supply disruptions and a resilient labor market, has shifted trader expectations toward at least one 2026 rate hike. With the federal funds rate holding at 3.50-3.75%, recent FOMC projections show roughly half of participants penciling in higher rates by year-end, while Governor Waller’s September 3 comments highlighted openness to tightening at the September 15-16 meeting if incoming PCE and CPI data fail to cool. Markets currently price about 40-65 basis points of hikes through year-end, reflecting skin-in-the-game consensus on the balance of risks. Key near-term catalysts include August inflation releases and the remaining 2026 FOMC meetings.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes