Incumbent Democrat Ned Lamont's recent primary victory on August 11, 2026, where he secured roughly two-thirds of the vote against challenger Josh Elliott, has reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic win at 96.9 percent. Lamont's high approval ratings near 63 percent, combined with consistent polling leads of 13 to 35 points over Republican nominee Ryan Fazio, reflect Connecticut's longstanding Democratic lean in statewide contests and the structural advantages of incumbency. Early general election surveys and the state's partisan baseline underpin the implied probability reflected in current market pricing. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include a major scandal, significant health event, or sharp economic downturn eroding support before the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Démocrate
97%
Républicain
2%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Démocrate
$5,517 Vol.
97%
Républicain
$3,737 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Ned Lamont's recent primary victory on August 11, 2026, where he secured roughly two-thirds of the vote against challenger Josh Elliott, has reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic win at 96.9 percent. Lamont's high approval ratings near 63 percent, combined with consistent polling leads of 13 to 35 points over Republican nominee Ryan Fazio, reflect Connecticut's longstanding Democratic lean in statewide contests and the structural advantages of incumbency. Early general election surveys and the state's partisan baseline underpin the implied probability reflected in current market pricing. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include a major scandal, significant health event, or sharp economic downturn eroding support before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Volume
$9,255Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Ned Lamont's recent primary victory on August 11, 2026, where he secured roughly two-thirds of the vote against challenger Josh Elliott, has reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic win at 96.9 percent. Lamont's high approval ratings near 63 percent, combined with consistent polling leads of 13 to 35 points over Republican nominee Ryan Fazio, reflect Connecticut's longstanding Democratic lean in statewide contests and the structural advantages of incumbency. Early general election surveys and the state's partisan baseline underpin the implied probability reflected in current market pricing. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include a major scandal, significant health event, or sharp economic downturn eroding support before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$9,255Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Ned Lamont's recent primary victory on August 11, 2026, where he secured roughly two-thirds of the vote against challenger Josh Elliott, has reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic win at 96.9 percent. Lamont's high approval ratings near 63 percent, combined with consistent polling leads of 13 to 35 points over Republican nominee Ryan Fazio, reflect Connecticut's longstanding Democratic lean in statewide contests and the structural advantages of incumbency. Early general election surveys and the state's partisan baseline underpin the implied probability reflected in current market pricing. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include a major scandal, significant health event, or sharp economic downturn eroding support before the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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