Adelita Grijalva (D), who won a 2025 special election to succeed her late father with nearly 69 percent of the vote, holds a commanding position in Arizona’s 7th District heading into the November 2026 general election. The majority-Hispanic district along the southern border carries a strong Democratic lean reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent performance in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, and Grijalva advanced easily through the July 2026 primary against minimal opposition. Republican nominee Daniel Butierez Sr. faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Democratic candidates by double-digit margins. A late-breaking scandal, dramatic national Republican wave, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though current conditions point to limited pathways for an upset.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAZ-07 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
AZ-07 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$21,042 Vol.
$21,042 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
95%
Parti républicain
6%
$21,042 Vol.
$21,042 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$5,794 Vol.
95%
Parti républicain
$15,248 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Adelita Grijalva (D), who won a 2025 special election to succeed her late father with nearly 69 percent of the vote, holds a commanding position in Arizona’s 7th District heading into the November 2026 general election. The majority-Hispanic district along the southern border carries a strong Democratic lean reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent performance in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, and Grijalva advanced easily through the July 2026 primary against minimal opposition. Republican nominee Daniel Butierez Sr. faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Democratic candidates by double-digit margins. A late-breaking scandal, dramatic national Republican wave, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though current conditions point to limited pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volume
$21,042Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Adelita Grijalva (D), who won a 2025 special election to succeed her late father with nearly 69 percent of the vote, holds a commanding position in Arizona’s 7th District heading into the November 2026 general election. The majority-Hispanic district along the southern border carries a strong Democratic lean reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent performance in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, and Grijalva advanced easily through the July 2026 primary against minimal opposition. Republican nominee Daniel Butierez Sr. faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Democratic candidates by double-digit margins. A late-breaking scandal, dramatic national Republican wave, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though current conditions point to limited pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$21,042Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Adelita Grijalva (D), who won a 2025 special election to succeed her late father with nearly 69 percent of the vote, holds a commanding position in Arizona’s 7th District heading into the November 2026 general election. The majority-Hispanic district along the southern border carries a strong Democratic lean reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent performance in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, and Grijalva advanced easily through the July 2026 primary against minimal opposition. Republican nominee Daniel Butierez Sr. faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Democratic candidates by double-digit margins. A late-breaking scandal, dramatic national Republican wave, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though current conditions point to limited pathways for an upset.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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