Illinois's 3rd congressional district remains a strong Democratic stronghold anchored in Chicago's northwest side, where incumbent Delia Ramirez secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary and faces minimal general-election opposition. Forecasters across outlets including the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on consistent partisan voting patterns, limited Republican fundraising and candidate recruitment, and the absence of competitive polling shifts since the primary. Traders assign the Democratic nominee overwhelming implied probability because historical margins, district demographics, and structural advantages have produced reliable outcomes in recent cycles. A late scandal involving the nominee, an unusually strong Republican performance driven by national conditions, or exceptionally high turnout anomalies could narrow the gap, though current evidence shows no such developments.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourIL-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
IL-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$39,478 Vol.
$39,478 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
94%
Parti républicain
3%
$39,478 Vol.
$39,478 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$16,693 Vol.
94%
Parti républicain
$22,785 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois's 3rd congressional district remains a strong Democratic stronghold anchored in Chicago's northwest side, where incumbent Delia Ramirez secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary and faces minimal general-election opposition. Forecasters across outlets including the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on consistent partisan voting patterns, limited Republican fundraising and candidate recruitment, and the absence of competitive polling shifts since the primary. Traders assign the Democratic nominee overwhelming implied probability because historical margins, district demographics, and structural advantages have produced reliable outcomes in recent cycles. A late scandal involving the nominee, an unusually strong Republican performance driven by national conditions, or exceptionally high turnout anomalies could narrow the gap, though current evidence shows no such developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volume
$39,478Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois's 3rd congressional district remains a strong Democratic stronghold anchored in Chicago's northwest side, where incumbent Delia Ramirez secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary and faces minimal general-election opposition. Forecasters across outlets including the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on consistent partisan voting patterns, limited Republican fundraising and candidate recruitment, and the absence of competitive polling shifts since the primary. Traders assign the Democratic nominee overwhelming implied probability because historical margins, district demographics, and structural advantages have produced reliable outcomes in recent cycles. A late scandal involving the nominee, an unusually strong Republican performance driven by national conditions, or exceptionally high turnout anomalies could narrow the gap, though current evidence shows no such developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$39,478Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois's 3rd congressional district remains a strong Democratic stronghold anchored in Chicago's northwest side, where incumbent Delia Ramirez secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary and faces minimal general-election opposition. Forecasters across outlets including the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on consistent partisan voting patterns, limited Republican fundraising and candidate recruitment, and the absence of competitive polling shifts since the primary. Traders assign the Democratic nominee overwhelming implied probability because historical margins, district demographics, and structural advantages have produced reliable outcomes in recent cycles. A late scandal involving the nominee, an unusually strong Republican performance driven by national conditions, or exceptionally high turnout anomalies could narrow the gap, though current evidence shows no such developments.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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