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Élections·Taïwan

Gagnant de l'élection du magistrat du comté de Changhua

icon for Gagnant de l'élection du magistrat du comté de Changhua
Élections·Taïwan

Gagnant de l'élection du magistrat du comté de Changhua

Chen Su-yueh 50%

Chiu Chien-fu 18%

Huang Hsiu-fang 13%

Wei Ping-cheng 13%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Chen Su-yueh 50%

Chiu Chien-fu 18%

Huang Hsiu-fang 13%

Wei Ping-cheng 13%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Chen Su-yueh

Chen Su-yueh

$483 Vol.

50%

icon for Chiu Chien-fu

Chiu Chien-fu

$191 Vol.

18%

icon for Huang Hsiu-fang

Huang Hsiu-fang

$119 Vol.

13%

icon for Wei Ping-cheng

Wei Ping-cheng

$110 Vol.

13%

icon for Hung Jung-chang

Hung Jung-chang

$178 Vol.

11%

icon for Lin Shih-hsien

Lin Shih-hsien

$588 Vol.

3%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Changhua County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Taiwan's November 2026 local elections for Changhua County magistrate feature a fragmented field where the Democratic Progressive Party's nomination of legislator Chen Su-yueh has established her as the frontrunner in trader consensus. Internal DPP divisions have produced an independent bid by former local mayor Chiu Chien-fu, splitting potential support and preventing any candidate from consolidating a clear advantage. The Kuomintang's selection of party official Wei Ping-cheng as its nominee has drawn commentary on limited name recognition, while additional independents such as Huang Hsiu-fang and Hung Jung-chang further dilute the vote. With the race less than three months away, upcoming campaign events, party coordination efforts, and turnout among core partisan bases remain the main variables that could shift implied probabilities before election day.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Changhua County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$1,669
Date de fin
28 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 8:57 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Changhua County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Changhua County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Taiwan's November 2026 local elections for Changhua County magistrate feature a fragmented field where the Democratic Progressive Party's nomination of legislator Chen Su-yueh has established her as the frontrunner in trader consensus. Internal DPP divisions have produced an independent bid by former local mayor Chiu Chien-fu, splitting potential support and preventing any candidate from consolidating a clear advantage. The Kuomintang's selection of party official Wei Ping-cheng as its nominee has drawn commentary on limited name recognition, while additional independents such as Huang Hsiu-fang and Hung Jung-chang further dilute the vote. With the race less than three months away, upcoming campaign events, party coordination efforts, and turnout among core partisan bases remain the main variables that could shift implied probabilities before election day.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Changhua County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$1,669
Date de fin
28 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 8:57 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Changhua County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

Connexes

icon for Wu Hsiu-hua va-t-elle gagner la prochaine élection du magistrat du comté de Taitung ?

Wu Hsiu-hua va-t-elle gagner la prochaine élection du magistrat du comté de Taitung ?

72%
Oui
icon for Tsai Yi-yu va-t-il gagner la prochaine élection du magistrat du comté de Chiayi ?

Tsai Yi-yu va-t-il gagner la prochaine élection du magistrat du comté de Chiayi ?

87%
Oui
icon for Chen Yu-jen remportera-t-elle la prochaine élection du magistrat du comté de Kinmen ?

Chen Yu-jen remportera-t-elle la prochaine élection du magistrat du comté de Kinmen ?

86%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Gagnant de l'élection du magistrat du comté de Changhua » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 6 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Chen Su-yueh » à 50%, suivi de « Chiu Chien-fu » à 18%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 50¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 50% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Gagnant de l'élection du magistrat du comté de Changhua » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 14, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Gagnant de l'élection du magistrat du comté de Changhua », parcourez les 6 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Gagnant de l'élection du magistrat du comté de Changhua » est « Chen Su-yueh » à 50%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 50% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Chiu Chien-fu » à 18%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Gagnant de l'élection du magistrat du comté de Changhua » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.