Republicans currently hold a narrow 26-24 edge in governorships entering the 2026 midterms, with 36 states holding elections and Democrats positioned to challenge that advantage through open Republican seats and competitive battlegrounds. Recent forecaster updates, including Sabato’s Crystal Ball shifts on September 3, moved Alaska to toss-up, Iowa toward Democrats, and Pennsylvania to safe Democratic, reflecting polling leads for candidates like Iowa’s Rob Sand and Pennsylvania’s Josh Shapiro. Georgia remains the other key toss-up, both open Republican-held positions. These factors, combined with midterm patterns where the out-party often gains ground, sustain close trader odds between a Democratic majority, Republican retention, or tie. Outcomes in the toss-ups and a handful of lean races could produce separation depending on turnout and late polling trends.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDemocratic Party 50%
Republican Party 34%
Tie 17%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
34%
Democratic Party
35%
Tie
17%
Democratic Party 50%
Republican Party 34%
Tie 17%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$355 Vol.
34%
Democratic Party
$1,927 Vol.
35%
Tie
$328 Vol.
17%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party, between the Republican Party and the Democratic Party, that holds the most US governor seats as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
If the Republican Party and the Democratic Party hold the same number of governor seats as a result of the 2026 midterm elections, this market will resolve to “Tie”.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.Republicans currently hold a narrow 26-24 edge in governorships entering the 2026 midterms, with 36 states holding elections and Democrats positioned to challenge that advantage through open Republican seats and competitive battlegrounds. Recent forecaster updates, including Sabato’s Crystal Ball shifts on September 3, moved Alaska to toss-up, Iowa toward Democrats, and Pennsylvania to safe Democratic, reflecting polling leads for candidates like Iowa’s Rob Sand and Pennsylvania’s Josh Shapiro. Georgia remains the other key toss-up, both open Republican-held positions. These factors, combined with midterm patterns where the out-party often gains ground, sustain close trader odds between a Democratic majority, Republican retention, or tie. Outcomes in the toss-ups and a handful of lean races could produce separation depending on turnout and late polling trends.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party, between the Republican Party and the Democratic Party, that holds the most US governor seats as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
If the Republican Party and the Democratic Party hold the same number of governor seats as a result of the 2026 midterm elections, this market will resolve to “Tie”.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the party, between the Republican Party and the Democratic Party, that holds the most US governor seats as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
If the Republican Party and the Democratic Party hold the same number of governor seats as a result of the 2026 midterm elections, this market will resolve to “Tie”.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 3:27 PM ET
Volume
$2,610End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 3:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party, between the Republican Party and the Democratic Party, that holds the most US governor seats as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
If the Republican Party and the Democratic Party hold the same number of governor seats as a result of the 2026 midterm elections, this market will resolve to “Tie”.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.Republicans currently hold a narrow 26-24 edge in governorships entering the 2026 midterms, with 36 states holding elections and Democrats positioned to challenge that advantage through open Republican seats and competitive battlegrounds. Recent forecaster updates, including Sabato’s Crystal Ball shifts on September 3, moved Alaska to toss-up, Iowa toward Democrats, and Pennsylvania to safe Democratic, reflecting polling leads for candidates like Iowa’s Rob Sand and Pennsylvania’s Josh Shapiro. Georgia remains the other key toss-up, both open Republican-held positions. These factors, combined with midterm patterns where the out-party often gains ground, sustain close trader odds between a Democratic majority, Republican retention, or tie. Outcomes in the toss-ups and a handful of lean races could produce separation depending on turnout and late polling trends.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party, between the Republican Party and the Democratic Party, that holds the most US governor seats as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
If the Republican Party and the Democratic Party hold the same number of governor seats as a result of the 2026 midterm elections, this market will resolve to “Tie”.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the party, between the Republican Party and the Democratic Party, that holds the most US governor seats as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
If the Republican Party and the Democratic Party hold the same number of governor seats as a result of the 2026 midterm elections, this market will resolve to “Tie”.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$2,610End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 3:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Republicans currently hold a narrow 26-24 edge in governorships entering the 2026 midterms, with 36 states holding elections and Democrats positioned to challenge that advantage through open Republican seats and competitive battlegrounds. Recent forecaster updates, including Sabato’s Crystal Ball shifts on September 3, moved Alaska to toss-up, Iowa toward Democrats, and Pennsylvania to safe Democratic, reflecting polling leads for candidates like Iowa’s Rob Sand and Pennsylvania’s Josh Shapiro. Georgia remains the other key toss-up, both open Republican-held positions. These factors, combined with midterm patterns where the out-party often gains ground, sustain close trader odds between a Democratic majority, Republican retention, or tie. Outcomes in the toss-ups and a handful of lean races could produce separation depending on turnout and late polling trends.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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