The 2026 Nevada Secretary of State race remains tightly contested because it is a rematch of the 2022 contest, in which Democrat Cisco Aguilar defeated Republican Jim Marchant by roughly two points in a state that has alternated between parties in recent presidential and statewide contests. Marchant secured the GOP nomination in the June primary by emphasizing election-integrity measures such as paper ballots, elimination of electronic machines, and restrictions on mail voting, positions that align with segments of the Republican base but contrast sharply with Aguilar’s record of expanding voter access and defending existing processes. With the November general election still two months away, no dominant polling shift has emerged, and minor-party candidates on the ballot add further uncertainty to the outcome. Trader consensus reflected in current prices continues to price the contest near even, consistent with Nevada’s narrow historical margins and the candidates’ established name recognition.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNevada Secretary of State Election Winner

Cisco Aguilar (D)
47%

Jim Marchant (R)
47%

Cisco Aguilar (D)
47%

Jim Marchant (R)
47%
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 1:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Nevada Secretary of State race remains tightly contested because it is a rematch of the 2022 contest, in which Democrat Cisco Aguilar defeated Republican Jim Marchant by roughly two points in a state that has alternated between parties in recent presidential and statewide contests. Marchant secured the GOP nomination in the June primary by emphasizing election-integrity measures such as paper ballots, elimination of electronic machines, and restrictions on mail voting, positions that align with segments of the Republican base but contrast sharply with Aguilar’s record of expanding voter access and defending existing processes. With the November general election still two months away, no dominant polling shift has emerged, and minor-party candidates on the ballot add further uncertainty to the outcome. Trader consensus reflected in current prices continues to price the contest near even, consistent with Nevada’s narrow historical margins and the candidates’ established name recognition.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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