Democratic incumbent Becca Balint seeks a third term in Vermont’s at-large House district after winning her primary unopposed, while Republican Gerald Malloy secured his party’s nomination in the August 11, 2026 primary. The seat has remained in Democratic hands since 1990, with Balint’s 2024 victory exceeding 30 points and recent University of New Hampshire polling showing her ahead by roughly 30 points. Nonpartisan race raters classify the contest as Safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors, including the state’s consistent partisan lean and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the balance. Late-breaking events such as a significant scandal, health crisis, or unusually strong national Republican performance could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedVT-AL House Election Winner
VT-AL House Election Winner
$27,898 Vol.
$27,898 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$27,898 Vol.
$27,898 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$8,650 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$19,248 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Becca Balint seeks a third term in Vermont’s at-large House district after winning her primary unopposed, while Republican Gerald Malloy secured his party’s nomination in the August 11, 2026 primary. The seat has remained in Democratic hands since 1990, with Balint’s 2024 victory exceeding 30 points and recent University of New Hampshire polling showing her ahead by roughly 30 points. Nonpartisan race raters classify the contest as Safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors, including the state’s consistent partisan lean and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the balance. Late-breaking events such as a significant scandal, health crisis, or unusually strong national Republican performance could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$27,898End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Becca Balint seeks a third term in Vermont’s at-large House district after winning her primary unopposed, while Republican Gerald Malloy secured his party’s nomination in the August 11, 2026 primary. The seat has remained in Democratic hands since 1990, with Balint’s 2024 victory exceeding 30 points and recent University of New Hampshire polling showing her ahead by roughly 30 points. Nonpartisan race raters classify the contest as Safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors, including the state’s consistent partisan lean and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the balance. Late-breaking events such as a significant scandal, health crisis, or unusually strong national Republican performance could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$27,898End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Becca Balint seeks a third term in Vermont’s at-large House district after winning her primary unopposed, while Republican Gerald Malloy secured his party’s nomination in the August 11, 2026 primary. The seat has remained in Democratic hands since 1990, with Balint’s 2024 victory exceeding 30 points and recent University of New Hampshire polling showing her ahead by roughly 30 points. Nonpartisan race raters classify the contest as Safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors, including the state’s consistent partisan lean and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the balance. Late-breaking events such as a significant scandal, health crisis, or unusually strong national Republican performance could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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