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icon for Sweden Parliamentary Election: Turnout

Sweden Parliamentary Election: Turnout

icon for Sweden Parliamentary Election: Turnout

Sweden Parliamentary Election: Turnout

84-86% 50%

86-88% 23%

82-84% 15%

88%+ 7%

Polymarket
NEW

84-86% 50%

86-88% 23%

82-84% 15%

88%+ 7%

Polymarket
NEW

<82%

$1,970 Vol.

1%

82-84%

$737 Vol.

15%

84-86%

$1,685 Vol.

50%

86-88%

$753 Vol.

23%

88%+

$96 Vol.

7%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate in the specified election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.val.se/valresultat/riksdag-region-och-kommun/2022/valresultat.html). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be official information published by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten, https://www.val.se/).Sweden's parliamentary election on September 13 features a tight contest between the centre-left opposition and the ruling right-wing bloc including the Sweden Democrats, with recent polls showing narrow leads and bloc gaps under three points. This competitiveness, combined with Sweden's established pattern of high electoral participation driven by strong civic engagement and accessible early voting, supports trader consensus around 84-86% turnout. The race's mobilization effects and absence of major disruptions in the final weeks reinforce positioning in the mid-80s range, while historical benchmarks from prior cycles limit odds of significant deviation absent late surprises in participation among key voter groups.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate in the specified election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.val.se/valresultat/riksdag-region-och-kommun/2022/valresultat.html).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be official information published by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten, https://www.val.se/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate in the specified election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.val.se/valresultat/riksdag-region-och-kommun/2022/valresultat.html). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be official information published by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten, https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$5,241
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 4:28 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate in the specified election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.val.se/valresultat/riksdag-region-och-kommun/2022/valresultat.html). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be official information published by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten, https://www.val.se/).Sweden's parliamentary election on September 13 features a tight contest between the centre-left opposition and the ruling right-wing bloc including the Sweden Democrats, with recent polls showing narrow leads and bloc gaps under three points. This competitiveness, combined with Sweden's established pattern of high electoral participation driven by strong civic engagement and accessible early voting, supports trader consensus around 84-86% turnout. The race's mobilization effects and absence of major disruptions in the final weeks reinforce positioning in the mid-80s range, while historical benchmarks from prior cycles limit odds of significant deviation absent late surprises in participation among key voter groups.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate in the specified election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.val.se/valresultat/riksdag-region-och-kommun/2022/valresultat.html).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be official information published by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten, https://www.val.se/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate in the specified election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.val.se/valresultat/riksdag-region-och-kommun/2022/valresultat.html). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be official information published by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten, https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$5,241
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 4:28 PM ET

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Sweden Parliamentary Election: Turnout" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "84-86%" at 50%, followed by "86-88%" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Sweden Parliamentary Election: Turnout" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 8, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Sweden Parliamentary Election: Turnout," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Sweden Parliamentary Election: Turnout" is "84-86%" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "86-88%" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Sweden Parliamentary Election: Turnout" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.