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icon for Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout

Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout

icon for Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout

Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout

50-53% 38%

53-56% 22.1%

62%+ 11.5%

59-62% 11.1%

Polymarket

$39,484 Vol.

50-53% 38%

53-56% 22.1%

62%+ 11.5%

59-62% 11.1%

Polymarket

$39,484 Vol.

<47%

$1,711 Vol.

5%

47-50%

$5,324 Vol.

8%

50-53%

$4,008 Vol.

38%

53-56%

$2,797 Vol.

22%

56-59%

$5,191 Vol.

11%

59-62%

$4,465 Vol.

11%

62%+

$15,988 Vol.

12%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.Russia's State Duma elections, scheduled for September 18–20 2026, feature official turnout targets of approximately 50 percent, maintained even as expectations for United Russia’s vote share were adjusted downward earlier this summer. Regional authorities have received instructions to achieve this level through standard administrative measures, including mobilization of public-sector workers and students, alongside expanded electronic and multi-day voting options. State pollster VTsIOM reported 66 percent of respondents intending to participate, though awareness of the election date remained limited in mid-2026 surveys. These factors align with the market’s concentration on the 50–56 percent range, reflecting trader assessments of typical parliamentary turnout patterns under current institutional conditions rather than the higher participation seen in the 2024 presidential vote.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Volume
$39,484
End Date
Sep 20, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.Russia's State Duma elections, scheduled for September 18–20 2026, feature official turnout targets of approximately 50 percent, maintained even as expectations for United Russia’s vote share were adjusted downward earlier this summer. Regional authorities have received instructions to achieve this level through standard administrative measures, including mobilization of public-sector workers and students, alongside expanded electronic and multi-day voting options. State pollster VTsIOM reported 66 percent of respondents intending to participate, though awareness of the election date remained limited in mid-2026 surveys. These factors align with the market’s concentration on the 50–56 percent range, reflecting trader assessments of typical parliamentary turnout patterns under current institutional conditions rather than the higher participation seen in the 2024 presidential vote.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Volume
$39,484
End Date
Sep 20, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "50-53%" at 38%, followed by "53-56%" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 38¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout" has generated $39.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 21, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout" is "50-53%" at 38%, meaning the market assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "53-56%" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.