Recent polling for Israel's October 27 Knesset election places the Reservists–New Economic Party slate near the 3.25% electoral threshold, with results fluctuating between roughly 1.4% and levels sufficient for four seats. The list, formed after Yoaz Hendel's Reservists merged with Yaron Zelekha's New Economic Party following a split from the prior Zionist Home alliance, emphasizes reservist priorities and economic reforms amid conscription debates. Mixed surveys from early September, conducted before final list submissions, reflect uncertainty over its ability to consolidate support from center-right voters focused on military service and governance issues. Further separation could arise from shifts in reservist turnout patterns or clearer signals on coalition viability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated3.25-3.75% 44%
4.25%+ 35%
3.75-4.25% 33%
<2.75% 29%
NEW
NEW
Nov 30, 2026
<2.75%
29%
2.75-3.25%
23%
3.25-3.75%
44%
3.75-4.25%
33%
4.25%+
35%
3.25-3.75% 44%
4.25%+ 35%
3.75-4.25% 33%
<2.75% 29%
NEW
NEW
Nov 30, 2026
<2.75%
$0 Vol.
29%
2.75-3.25%
$0 Vol.
23%
3.25-3.75%
$0 Vol.
44%
3.75-4.25%
$0 Vol.
33%
4.25%+
$0 Vol.
35%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Reservists – New Economic Party party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Reservists – New Economic Party's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Reservists – New Economic Party passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Reservists – New Economic Party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Reservists – New Economic Party merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling for Israel's October 27 Knesset election places the Reservists–New Economic Party slate near the 3.25% electoral threshold, with results fluctuating between roughly 1.4% and levels sufficient for four seats. The list, formed after Yoaz Hendel's Reservists merged with Yaron Zelekha's New Economic Party following a split from the prior Zionist Home alliance, emphasizes reservist priorities and economic reforms amid conscription debates. Mixed surveys from early September, conducted before final list submissions, reflect uncertainty over its ability to consolidate support from center-right voters focused on military service and governance issues. Further separation could arise from shifts in reservist turnout patterns or clearer signals on coalition viability.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Reservists – New Economic Party party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Reservists – New Economic Party's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Reservists – New Economic Party passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Reservists – New Economic Party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Reservists – New Economic Party merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Reservists – New Economic Party party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Reservists – New Economic Party's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Reservists – New Economic Party passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Reservists – New Economic Party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Reservists – New Economic Party merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Market Opened: Sep 9, 2026, 5:21 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 5:21 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Reservists – New Economic Party party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Reservists – New Economic Party's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Reservists – New Economic Party passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Reservists – New Economic Party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Reservists – New Economic Party merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling for Israel's October 27 Knesset election places the Reservists–New Economic Party slate near the 3.25% electoral threshold, with results fluctuating between roughly 1.4% and levels sufficient for four seats. The list, formed after Yoaz Hendel's Reservists merged with Yaron Zelekha's New Economic Party following a split from the prior Zionist Home alliance, emphasizes reservist priorities and economic reforms amid conscription debates. Mixed surveys from early September, conducted before final list submissions, reflect uncertainty over its ability to consolidate support from center-right voters focused on military service and governance issues. Further separation could arise from shifts in reservist turnout patterns or clearer signals on coalition viability.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Reservists – New Economic Party party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Reservists – New Economic Party's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Reservists – New Economic Party passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Reservists – New Economic Party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Reservists – New Economic Party merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Reservists – New Economic Party party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Reservists – New Economic Party's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Reservists – New Economic Party passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Reservists – New Economic Party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Reservists – New Economic Party merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Volume
$0End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 5:21 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Israel's October 27 Knesset election places the Reservists–New Economic Party slate near the 3.25% electoral threshold, with results fluctuating between roughly 1.4% and levels sufficient for four seats. The list, formed after Yoaz Hendel's Reservists merged with Yaron Zelekha's New Economic Party following a split from the prior Zionist Home alliance, emphasizes reservist priorities and economic reforms amid conscription debates. Mixed surveys from early September, conducted before final list submissions, reflect uncertainty over its ability to consolidate support from center-right voters focused on military service and governance issues. Further separation could arise from shifts in reservist turnout patterns or clearer signals on coalition viability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions