Recent opinion polls place Sweden's Center Party (Centerpartiet) support in the 6–7% range, with Demoskop's early August survey at 7.3% and Novus at 6.6%, consistent with the SCB's May figure of 6.4%. These results, weeks before the September 13 election, underpin trader consensus on the 5–7% band. The party has reiterated its refusal to back any government reliant on the Left Party or Sweden Democrats, limiting coalition options amid the right-leaning Tidö bloc's challenges and the opposition's lead. No major party-specific events have shifted momentum in recent weeks, leaving vote share expectations anchored to stable polling trends.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated5-7% 69%
9%+ 23%
7-9% 22%
<5% 16%
<5%
16%
5-7%
69%
7-9%
22%
9%+
23%
5-7% 69%
9%+ 23%
7-9% 22%
<5% 16%
<5%
16%
5-7%
69%
7-9%
22%
9%+
23%
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 5:44 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent opinion polls place Sweden's Center Party (Centerpartiet) support in the 6–7% range, with Demoskop's early August survey at 7.3% and Novus at 6.6%, consistent with the SCB's May figure of 6.4%. These results, weeks before the September 13 election, underpin trader consensus on the 5–7% band. The party has reiterated its refusal to back any government reliant on the Left Party or Sweden Democrats, limiting coalition options amid the right-leaning Tidö bloc's challenges and the opposition's lead. No major party-specific events have shifted momentum in recent weeks, leaving vote share expectations anchored to stable polling trends.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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