PA-03, centered in Philadelphia, features an open seat following the retirement of longtime Democratic incumbent Dwight Evans. Chris Rabb secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary by defeating state Senator Sharif Street and other challengers, consolidating support in a district with consistent heavy Democratic margins in prior cycles. Trader consensus reflects the district’s partisan composition, limited Republican recruitment, and Cook Political Report’s Solid D rating. A commanding Democratic lead could face pressure only from an unforeseen late scandal, significant national electoral shift, or unusually high Republican turnout, though structural factors make substantial movement improbable before the November general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPA-03 House Election Winner
PA-03 House Election Winner
$30,976 Vol.
$30,976 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
2%
$30,976 Vol.
$30,976 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$19,619 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$11,356 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).PA-03, centered in Philadelphia, features an open seat following the retirement of longtime Democratic incumbent Dwight Evans. Chris Rabb secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary by defeating state Senator Sharif Street and other challengers, consolidating support in a district with consistent heavy Democratic margins in prior cycles. Trader consensus reflects the district’s partisan composition, limited Republican recruitment, and Cook Political Report’s Solid D rating. A commanding Democratic lead could face pressure only from an unforeseen late scandal, significant national electoral shift, or unusually high Republican turnout, though structural factors make substantial movement improbable before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$30,976End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).PA-03, centered in Philadelphia, features an open seat following the retirement of longtime Democratic incumbent Dwight Evans. Chris Rabb secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary by defeating state Senator Sharif Street and other challengers, consolidating support in a district with consistent heavy Democratic margins in prior cycles. Trader consensus reflects the district’s partisan composition, limited Republican recruitment, and Cook Political Report’s Solid D rating. A commanding Democratic lead could face pressure only from an unforeseen late scandal, significant national electoral shift, or unusually high Republican turnout, though structural factors make substantial movement improbable before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$30,976End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...PA-03, centered in Philadelphia, features an open seat following the retirement of longtime Democratic incumbent Dwight Evans. Chris Rabb secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary by defeating state Senator Sharif Street and other challengers, consolidating support in a district with consistent heavy Democratic margins in prior cycles. Trader consensus reflects the district’s partisan composition, limited Republican recruitment, and Cook Political Report’s Solid D rating. A commanding Democratic lead could face pressure only from an unforeseen late scandal, significant national electoral shift, or unusually high Republican turnout, though structural factors make substantial movement improbable before the November general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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