Skip to main content

To trade in the US, go to polymarket.us

icon for Next Prime Minister of Sweden
World·Global Elections

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

icon for Next Prime Minister of Sweden
World·Global Elections

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Magdalena Andersson 79%

Ulf Kristersson 19%

Jimmie Åkesson <1%

Ebba Busch <1%

Polymarket

$4,733,420 Vol.

Magdalena Andersson 79%

Ulf Kristersson 19%

Jimmie Åkesson <1%

Ebba Busch <1%

Polymarket

$4,733,420 Vol.

icon for Magdalena Andersson

Magdalena Andersson

$454,032 Vol.

79%

icon for Ulf Kristersson

Ulf Kristersson

$329,801 Vol.

19%

icon for Jimmie Åkesson

Jimmie Åkesson

$1,532,175 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ebba Busch

Ebba Busch

$457,247 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nooshi Dadgostar

Nooshi Dadgostar

$1,012,507 Vol.

<1%

icon for Anna-Karin Hatt

Anna-Karin Hatt

$126,687 Vol.

<1%

icon for Amanda Lind

Amanda Lind

$131,201 Vol.

<1%

icon for Simona Mohamsson

Simona Mohamsson

$176,412 Vol.

<1%

icon for Daniel Helldén

Daniel Helldén

$333,455 Vol.

<1%

icon for Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist

Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist

$179,902 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sweden's parliamentary election on September 13 positions Magdalena Andersson as the frontrunner for prime minister, with trader consensus reflecting sustained polling leads for the Social Democrats-led centre-left bloc over the incumbent right-wing Tidö government. Recent surveys show the opposition maintaining an edge on combined support around 50%, though the gap has narrowed in the campaign's final stretch amid voter priorities on crime, immigration, energy, and living costs. Ulf Kristersson's lower odds track his coalition's trailing position and the Liberals' risk of falling below the 4% threshold, limiting seat prospects. Other listed figures register minimal probabilities consistent with their parties' smaller roles in current bloc dynamics and preferred-leader surveys.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,733,420
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sweden's parliamentary election on September 13 positions Magdalena Andersson as the frontrunner for prime minister, with trader consensus reflecting sustained polling leads for the Social Democrats-led centre-left bloc over the incumbent right-wing Tidö government. Recent surveys show the opposition maintaining an edge on combined support around 50%, though the gap has narrowed in the campaign's final stretch amid voter priorities on crime, immigration, energy, and living costs. Ulf Kristersson's lower odds track his coalition's trailing position and the Liberals' risk of falling below the 4% threshold, limiting seat prospects. Other listed figures register minimal probabilities consistent with their parties' smaller roles in current bloc dynamics and preferred-leader surveys.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,733,420
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Related

icon for Will the Green Party (MP) be in the next Swedish government?

Will the Green Party (MP) be in the next Swedish government?

80%
icon for Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

98%
icon for Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?

Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?

98%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Next Prime Minister of Sweden" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Magdalena Andersson" at 79%, followed by "Ulf Kristersson" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 79¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next Prime Minister of Sweden" has generated $4.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next Prime Minister of Sweden," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next Prime Minister of Sweden" is "Magdalena Andersson" at 79%, meaning the market assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ulf Kristersson" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next Prime Minister of Sweden" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.