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icon for Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner
Politics·Mayoral

Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner

icon for Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner
Politics·Mayoral

Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner

Harvey Lennon 35%

Bill Harvey 17%

Ryan Posselt 15%

Louise Bloomfield 13%

Polymarket
NEW

Harvey Lennon 35%

Bill Harvey 17%

Ryan Posselt 15%

Louise Bloomfield 13%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Harvey Lennon

Harvey Lennon

$0 Vol.

35%

icon for Bill Harvey

Bill Harvey

$0 Vol.

17%

icon for Ryan Posselt

Ryan Posselt

$23 Vol.

15%

icon for Louise Bloomfield

Louise Bloomfield

$0 Vol.

13%

icon for Mike Dutta

Mike Dutta

$0 Vol.

12%

icon for Marti Zucco

Marti Zucco

$20 Vol.

12%

icon for John Kelly

John Kelly

$50 Vol.

42%

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The open Hobart Lord Mayor contest for the October 27, 2026, Tasmanian local government elections remains fragmented, with trader pricing reflecting a tight multi-candidate field following incumbent Anna Reynolds’ decision not to recontest. Recent entry by sitting councillor John Kelly has added to the group of declared contenders that includes fellow councillors Louise Bloomfield, Mike Dutta, Bill Harvey, Ryan Posselt, and Marti Zucco, plus former executive Harvey Lennon. Single transferable voting and the absence of an established frontrunner keep implied probabilities clustered in the low-to-mid 20s percent range for the leading names. Further separation could emerge from candidate forums, preference negotiations among independents, or shifts in local priorities such as transport infrastructure and council leadership stability once formal nominations open on September 7.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$93
End Date
Oct 28, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 5:25 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The open Hobart Lord Mayor contest for the October 27, 2026, Tasmanian local government elections remains fragmented, with trader pricing reflecting a tight multi-candidate field following incumbent Anna Reynolds’ decision not to recontest. Recent entry by sitting councillor John Kelly has added to the group of declared contenders that includes fellow councillors Louise Bloomfield, Mike Dutta, Bill Harvey, Ryan Posselt, and Marti Zucco, plus former executive Harvey Lennon. Single transferable voting and the absence of an established frontrunner keep implied probabilities clustered in the low-to-mid 20s percent range for the leading names. Further separation could emerge from candidate forums, preference negotiations among independents, or shifts in local priorities such as transport infrastructure and council leadership stability once formal nominations open on September 7.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$93
End Date
Oct 28, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 5:25 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "John Kelly" at 42%, followed by "Harvey Lennon" at 35%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 42¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 3, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner" is "John Kelly" at 42%, meaning the market assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Harvey Lennon" at 35%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.